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League One | Gameweek 34
Feb 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Northampton
3 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Brough (3'), Pinnock (40'), Leonard (84')
Brough (52'), Moulden (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Martin (79')
Wilson (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 4-3 Northampton
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 2-3 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 2-2 Bristol Rovers

With virtually nothing to separate the sides in the league table, a close encounter is likely between two teams marooned in mid-table. Despite not drawing any of their previous 13 league games, Rovers may have found their match here, and the two could cancel each other in another entertaining affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Bristol Rovers has a probability of 35.89% and a draw has a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win is 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.37%).

Result
Northampton TownDrawBristol Rovers
38.06% (0.38500000000001 0.39) 26.04% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 35.89% (-0.352 -0.35)
Both teams to score 54.07% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.63% (0.128 0.13)50.36% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.69% (0.113 0.11)72.3% (-0.116 -0.12)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.15% (0.27199999999999 0.27)25.85% (-0.274 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.18% (0.37 0.37)60.81% (-0.373 -0.37)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)27.08% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.53% (-0.192 -0.19)62.46% (0.187 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 38.06%
    Bristol Rovers 35.89%
    Draw 26.04%
Northampton TownDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.37% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.41% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.78% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.89% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 38.06%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 9.14% (-0.084999999999999 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8.08% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.97% (-0.079999999999999 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.52% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 35.89%

How you voted: Northampton vs Bristol Rovers

Northampton Town
37.5%
Draw
25.0%
Bristol Rovers
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Northampton
Martin (10'), Evans (30' pen.)
Grant (12'), Evans (18'), Martin (41')
Monthe (57')
Pinnock (54')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Northampton
0-1
Bristol Rovers

McGowan (61'), Lewis (71'), Pinnock (90+2')
Anderson (1')
Finley (68'), Coutts (75'), Connolly (81'), Taylor (90+1')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Northampton
Grant (54'), Evans (59')
Whelan (12'), Harries (49'), Anderson (74')
Whelan (67')
Hoskins (39' pen.)
Hoskins (74'), Roberts (90+5')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 41
Northampton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Hoskins (78' pen.)
Morris (44'), Hoskins (83')
Leahy (19')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 4
Bristol Rovers
2-0
Northampton
Hanlan (56' pen.), Baldwin (79')
Grant (23')

Racic (11'), Martin (35'), Watson (82'), Bolger (90+4')
Martin (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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