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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Oxford United |
40.15% ( 0) | 24.55% ( -0) | 35.3% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 59.19% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.27% ( 0) | 43.73% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.88% ( 0) | 66.12% ( -0) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.2% ( 0) | 21.79% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45% ( 0) | 55% ( -0.01) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.68% | 24.31% ( -0) |