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Norwich logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Bristol Rovers

Norwich
1 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Barnes (12')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ward (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Norwich City and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Southampton
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 3-1 Bristol Rovers

As efficient as Bristol Rovers have been in the attacking third during the winter period, their defensive deficiencies continue to bedevil them and ought to be exposed by a Norwich crop aiming to right a few wrongs this weekend. Wagner should not be averse to making a few alterations to his pack, who will likely be faced with a three-man Pirates wall, but we still expect the Canaries to prevail with ease. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 51.61%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.43% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBristol Rovers
51.61%22.95%25.43% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.56% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)41.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.16% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)63.84%
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.85% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)16.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.41% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)45.59%
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.36% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)29.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.31% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)65.69%
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 51.61%
    Bristol Rovers 25.44%
    Draw 22.95%
Norwich CityDrawBristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.68%
1-0 @ 8.73%
2-0 @ 7.96%
3-1 @ 5.88%
3-0 @ 4.84%
3-2 @ 3.58%
4-1 @ 2.68%
4-0 @ 2.2%
4-2 @ 1.63%
5-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 51.61%
1-1 @ 10.61%
2-2 @ 5.88%
0-0 @ 4.79%
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.95%
1-2 @ 6.45%
0-1 @ 5.82%
0-2 @ 3.54%
1-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 25.44%

How you voted: Norwich vs Bristol Rovers

Norwich City
70.0%
Draw
10.0%
Bristol Rovers
20.0%
40
Head to Head
May 1, 2010 3pm
Oct 3, 2009 3pm
Norwich
5-1
Bristol Rovers
Hoolahan (31' pen.), Martin (9'), Holt (33', 40'), Cureton (90')
Berthel Askou (26'), Lappin (38'), Drury (59')
Hughes (26' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

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1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

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1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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