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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
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Norwich
1 - 1
Southampton

Sargent (78')
Stacey (23'), McCallum (27'), Sara (54'), Hernandez (87'), McLean (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Armstrong (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Norwich
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

Southampton

All competitions
Last Game: Southampton 2-1 Plymouth
Friday, December 29 at 6pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-2 Southampton

 This has all of the makings of a fascinating match, and we are expecting it to be an entertaining contest. Southampton will go in search of a fifth straight Championship win, but Norwich have been strong at home this season, and we are therefore finding it difficult to separate the two teams. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawSouthampton
43.98% (-0.269 -0.27) 23.77% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 32.24% (0.25 0.25)
Both teams to score 61.07% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)40.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)63.26% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)18.86% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.66% (-0.183 -0.18)50.33% (0.185 0.19)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.28% (0.155 0.16)24.72% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.73% (0.214 0.21)59.26% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 43.98%
    Southampton 32.24%
    Draw 23.77%
Norwich CityDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.78% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.49% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.61% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 43.98%
1-1 @ 10.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.64% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 7.6% (0.038 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.52% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.55% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.54% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.12% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 32.24%

How you voted: Norwich vs Southampton

Norwich City
32.6%
Draw
18.6%
Southampton
48.8%
43
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Southampton
4-4
Norwich
Bednarek (17'), Armstrong (21' pen., 90+7' pen.), Adams (57')
Smallbone (40'), Edozie (45+1'), Tella (50'), Stephens (60'), Adams (76'), Charles (76'), Bednarek (77')
Sargent (7'), Sara (23'), Rowe (45+2'), Fassnacht (84')
McLean (1'), Springett (77'), Stacey (90+1'), Nunez (90+4')
> Preview
Feb 25, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 27
Southampton
2-0
Norwich
Adams (36'), Romeu (88')
Salisu (39')

Pukki (59'), Williams (90')
> Preview
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Norwich
2-1
Southampton
Pukki (7'), Hanley (79')
Williams (64'), Krul (90+3'), Normann (90+4')
Adams (4')
Bednarek (64'), Walker-Peters (71')
> Preview
Jun 19, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 30
Norwich
0-3
Southampton
> Match Report
Dec 4, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 15
Southampton
2-1
Norwich
> Match Report
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311
> Championship Full Table


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