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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
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Norwich
1 - 1
Southampton

Sargent (78')
Stacey (23'), McCallum (27'), Sara (54'), Hernandez (87'), McLean (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Armstrong (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Norwich
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

Southampton

All competitions
Last Game: Southampton 2-1 Plymouth
Friday, December 29 at 6pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-2 Southampton

 This has all of the makings of a fascinating match, and we are expecting it to be an entertaining contest. Southampton will go in search of a fifth straight Championship win, but Norwich have been strong at home this season, and we are therefore finding it difficult to separate the two teams. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawSouthampton
43.98% (-0.269 -0.27) 23.77% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 32.24% (0.25 0.25)
Both teams to score 61.07% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)40.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)63.26% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)18.86% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.66% (-0.183 -0.18)50.33% (0.185 0.19)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.28% (0.155 0.16)24.72% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.73% (0.214 0.21)59.26% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 43.98%
    Southampton 32.24%
    Draw 23.77%
Norwich CityDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.78% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.49% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.61% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 43.98%
1-1 @ 10.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.64% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 7.6% (0.038 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.52% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.55% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.54% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.12% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 32.24%

How you voted: Norwich vs Southampton

Norwich City
32.6%
Draw
18.6%
Southampton
48.8%
43
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Southampton
4-4
Norwich
Bednarek (17'), Armstrong (21' pen., 90+7' pen.), Adams (57')
Smallbone (40'), Edozie (45+1'), Tella (50'), Stephens (60'), Adams (76'), Charles (76'), Bednarek (77')
Sargent (7'), Sara (23'), Rowe (45+2'), Fassnacht (84')
McLean (1'), Springett (77'), Stacey (90+1'), Nunez (90+4')
> Preview
Feb 25, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 27
Southampton
2-0
Norwich
Adams (36'), Romeu (88')
Salisu (39')

Pukki (59'), Williams (90')
> Preview
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Norwich
2-1
Southampton
Pukki (7'), Hanley (79')
Williams (64'), Krul (90+3'), Normann (90+4')
Adams (4')
Bednarek (64'), Walker-Peters (71')
> Preview
Jun 19, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 30
Norwich
0-3
Southampton
> Match Report
Dec 4, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 15
Southampton
2-1
Norwich
> Match Report
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Chiefs
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139
> Championship Full Table


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