MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 04:40:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
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Norwich
1 - 1
Southampton

Sargent (78')
Stacey (23'), McCallum (27'), Sara (54'), Hernandez (87'), McLean (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Armstrong (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Norwich
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

Southampton

All competitions
Last Game: Southampton 2-1 Plymouth
Friday, December 29 at 6pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-2 Southampton

 This has all of the makings of a fascinating match, and we are expecting it to be an entertaining contest. Southampton will go in search of a fifth straight Championship win, but Norwich have been strong at home this season, and we are therefore finding it difficult to separate the two teams. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawSouthampton
43.98% (-0.269 -0.27) 23.77% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 32.24% (0.25 0.25)
Both teams to score 61.07% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)40.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)63.26% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)18.86% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.66% (-0.183 -0.18)50.33% (0.185 0.19)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.28% (0.155 0.16)24.72% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.73% (0.214 0.21)59.26% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 43.98%
    Southampton 32.24%
    Draw 23.77%
Norwich CityDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.78% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.49% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.61% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 43.98%
1-1 @ 10.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.64% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 7.6% (0.038 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.52% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.55% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.54% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.12% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 32.24%

How you voted: Norwich vs Southampton

Norwich City
32.6%
Draw
18.6%
Southampton
48.8%
43
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Southampton
4-4
Norwich
Bednarek (17'), Armstrong (21' pen., 90+7' pen.), Adams (57')
Smallbone (40'), Edozie (45+1'), Tella (50'), Stephens (60'), Adams (76'), Charles (76'), Bednarek (77')
Sargent (7'), Sara (23'), Rowe (45+2'), Fassnacht (84')
McLean (1'), Springett (77'), Stacey (90+1'), Nunez (90+4')
> Preview
Feb 25, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 27
Southampton
2-0
Norwich
Adams (36'), Romeu (88')
Salisu (39')

Pukki (59'), Williams (90')
> Preview
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Norwich
2-1
Southampton
Pukki (7'), Hanley (79')
Williams (64'), Krul (90+3'), Normann (90+4')
Adams (4')
Bednarek (64'), Walker-Peters (71')
> Preview
Jun 19, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 30
Norwich
0-3
Southampton
> Match Report
Dec 4, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 15
Southampton
2-1
Norwich
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318
> Championship Full Table


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