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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 48.51%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 27.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 2-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
Result | ||
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Southampton |
27.74% ( 0.03) | 23.76% ( 0.01) | 48.51% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 58.33% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.73% ( -0.05) | 43.27% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.33% ( -0.04) | 65.67% ( 0.04) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.12% ( -0) | 28.87% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.26% ( -0) | 64.74% ( 0) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.02% ( -0.03) | 17.98% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.16% ( -0.06) | 48.84% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Southampton |
2-1 @ 6.87% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.85% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 3.46% Total : 27.74% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.64% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.88% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 3.64% Total : 48.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 29 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 26 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 25 |
4 | Burnley | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Watford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Bristol City | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
11 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
15 | Hull City | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
17 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 14 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
24 | Portsmouth | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 9 |
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