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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
Result | ||
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Oxford United |
48.85% ( 0.26) | 23.33% ( -0.1) | 27.82% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 59.9% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.77% ( 0.34) | 41.23% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.38% ( 0.34) | 63.62% ( -0.34) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.92% ( 0.23) | 17.08% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.74% ( 0.4) | 47.26% ( -0.4) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.24% ( 0.06) | 27.76% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.66% ( 0.07) | 63.33% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Oxford United |
2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.4% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.06% Total : 48.85% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.32% | 1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 27.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |