League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Shrewsbury0 - 3Exeter
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Port Vale 1-2 Shrewsbury
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 2-2 Bolton
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-1 Exeter City
For all of Shrewsbury's attacking shortcomings on home soil, Exeter arrive at Montgomery Waters Meadow with just one clean sheet from their last 14 away games and have often struggled to shut out their hosts on Salop soil. Jellied legs from the weekend could also hamper the flow of both sides, and in a contest as tight as the table would suggest, we can only envisage a low-scoring draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Exeter City |
38.21% ( 0.09) | 26.81% ( 0.01) | 34.98% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 51.45% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.34% ( -0.04) | 53.65% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.85% ( -0.03) | 75.15% ( 0.03) |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.7% ( 0.04) | 27.3% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.25% ( 0.05) | 62.74% ( -0.04) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.77% ( -0.08) | 29.22% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.82% ( -0.09) | 65.17% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town 38.2%
Exeter City 34.98%
Draw 26.8%
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Exeter City |
| 1-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 38.2% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.98% |
How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Exeter
Shrewsbury Town
52.2%Draw
34.8%Exeter City
13.0%23
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Exeter
0-0
Shrewsbury
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Shrewsbury
3-2
Exeter
Apr 11, 2015 3pm
