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League One
Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Exeter City

Cheltenham
1 - 2
Exeter

Williams (51')
Kinsella (39'), Thomas (59'), Nuttall (60'), Long (84'), Harrop (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Harris (56'), Cole (90' pen.)
Sweeney (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Cheltenham
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Charlton
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 0-1 Exeter City

 Both sides have struggled for goals this season, scoring just 32 and 34 respectively, and we expect those problems to continue with a low-scoring affair in this one. Exeter won 1-0 in the reverse fixture of this clash in September, and we believe this one will end in the same result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawExeter City
39.58% (0.212 0.21) 26.03% (-0.037000000000003 -0.04) 34.39% (-0.18 -0.18)
Both teams to score 53.91% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.52% (0.123 0.12)50.48% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.59% (0.106 0.11)72.4% (-0.113 -0.11)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (0.167 0.17)25.08% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (0.236 0.24)59.76% (-0.241 -0.24)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.95% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)28.04% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.3% (-0.067 -0.07)63.7% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 39.58%
    Exeter City 34.39%
    Draw 26.02%
Cheltenham TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 8.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.73% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.94% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.1% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.07% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 39.58%
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.03% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.86% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.68% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.33% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.41% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 34.39%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Exeter

Cheltenham Town
20.0%
Draw
30.0%
Exeter City
50.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Exeter
1-0
Cheltenham
Watts (68')
Wildschut (38'), Scott (75'), Carroll (87')

Williams (18'), Williams (61')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 37
Cheltenham
3-1
Exeter
Keena (17'), Taylor (74'), May (79')
Key (69')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Exeter
0-1
Cheltenham
N'Lundulu (56')
Long (77'), Southwood (79'), Williams (80'), Freestone (90+3')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Cheltenham
0-7
Exeter

Lloyd (38'), Horton (63')
Nombe (23', 35'), Collins (26'), Jay (28'), Sparkes (45+1'), Kite (50'), Coley (84')
> Preview
Oct 5, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Cheltenham
2-2
Exeter
 Exeter win 3-2 on penalties
Chapman (37'), Miles (70')
Daniel (8'), Collins (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe1392231161529
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport145632017321
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Crawley TownCrawley143291225-1311
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion130581325-125
> League One Full Table


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