We said: Oxford United 2-2 Cheltenham Town
Oxford will view Saturday's contest as a chance to return to winning ways against the relegation-threatened Robins, but after drawing three of their last five home matches, we think that they will be held to a point by a Cheltenham side that has seen two of their previous four games finish all square.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 56.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 19.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.