League One

League One | Gameweek 37

Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
2 - 1
Cheltenham

Murphy (45+3'), Leigh (88')
Brown (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ferry (80')
Sercombe (20'), Davies (61'), Harrop (73'), (88')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Portsmouth 2-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

Last Game: Cheltenham 1-3 Charlton
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Oxford United 2-2 Cheltenham Town

Oxford will view Saturday's contest as a chance to return to winning ways against the relegation-threatened Robins, but after drawing three of their last five home matches, we think that they will be held to a point by a Cheltenham side that has seen two of their previous four games finish all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 56.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 19.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Cheltenham Town
56.9% ( 0)	23.38% ( -0)	19.71% ( -0)

Both teams to score 50.09% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.34%

49.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.32% (

-0)

71.68% (

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.76% (

17.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.46% (

47.54% (

-0)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.53% (

-0)

39.47% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.83% (

-0)

76.16% (

Score Analysis

Oxford United 56.9%

Cheltenham Town 19.71%

Draw 23.37%

Oxford United	Draw	Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.96% 2-0 @ 10.51% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 6.16% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.73% 4-0 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 2.52% 4-2 @ 1.17% 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 56.9%	1-1 @ 11.11% 0-0 @ 6.8% 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0) Other @ 0.92% Total : 23.37%	0-1 @ 6.32% 1-2 @ 5.17% 0-2 @ 2.94% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.41% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.36% Total : 19.71%