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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Oxford Utd
2 - 1
Cheltenham

Murphy (45+3'), Leigh (88')
Brown (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ferry (80')
Sercombe (20'), Davies (61'), Harrop (73'), (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 2-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-3 Charlton
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 2-2 Cheltenham Town

Oxford will view Saturday's contest as a chance to return to winning ways against the relegation-threatened Robins, but after drawing three of their last five home matches, we think that they will be held to a point by a Cheltenham side that has seen two of their previous four games finish all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 56.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 19.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
56.9% (0.0030000000000001 0) 23.38% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 19.71% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 50.09% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.34%49.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.32% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)71.68% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.76% (0.0010000000000048 0)17.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.46% (0.0020000000000024 0)47.54% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)39.47% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)76.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 56.9%
    Cheltenham Town 19.71%
    Draw 23.37%
Oxford UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.96%
2-0 @ 10.51%
2-1 @ 9.78%
3-0 @ 6.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.73%
4-0 @ 2.71%
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 2.52%
4-2 @ 1.17%
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 56.9%
1-1 @ 11.11%
0-0 @ 6.8%
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 23.37%
0-1 @ 6.32%
1-2 @ 5.17%
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.41%
0-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 19.71%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Cheltenham

Oxford United
71.4%
Draw
7.1%
Cheltenham Town
21.4%
14
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Cheltenham
2-0
Oxford Utd
Street (34'), Goodwin (76')
Williams (48'), Bevan (72'), Pett (86'), Southwood (90+2')
Street (45+2')

Thorniley (32'), Rodrigues (55'), Brannagan (72')
Rodrigues (68')
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Oxford Utd
4-0
Cheltenham
Goodrham (38'), Joseph (52'), Browne (60', 65')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Cheltenham
1-2
Oxford Utd
Perry (63')
Chapman (43'), Taylor (84'), Ferry (90'), Lloyd (90+3'), Norton (90+4')
Chapman (90+3')
Brannagan (66', 86')
Joseph (61'), Bodin (70'), Taylor (90'), Brannagan (90+4')
Bodin (74')
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Oxford Utd
1-1
Cheltenham
Sykes (82')
Sykes (32')
Wright (48')
Thomas (45'), Blair (58'), Freestone (71'), Evans (72'), Raglan (77')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Cheltenham
1-0
Oxford Utd
May (68')
Thomas (65'), Blair (88')

Long (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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