Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 50.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.49%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Stevenage win it was 1-0 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.