Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 58.36%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 18.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
58.36% ( -0.18) | 23.01% ( -0.04) | 18.63% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 49.43% ( 0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.38% ( 0.46) | 49.62% ( -0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.36% ( 0.41) | 71.64% ( -0.41) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.29% ( 0.1) | 16.71% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.4% ( 0.18) | 46.6% ( -0.18) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.35% ( 0.52) | 40.65% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.75% ( 0.47) | 77.25% ( -0.47) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
1-0 @ 12.15% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 58.36% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.87% Total : 23% | 0-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.05% Total : 18.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 38 |
2 | Wrexham | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 11 | 15 | 34 |
3 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 33 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Barnsley | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 27 |
7 | Reading | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 27 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 27 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 23 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 21 |
15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 20 |
16 | Blackpool | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 20 |
17 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |