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League One | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
Shrewsbury Town

Wrexham
3 - 0
Shrewsbury

Palmer (15'), Lee (42'), Marriott (59')
McClean (28'), Dobson (35'), Lee (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Benning (8'), Ojo (69'), Winchester (76'), Lloyd (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Wrexham and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Peterborough 0-2 Wrexham
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wrexham 3-1 Shrewsbury Town

Shrewsbury may be in a positive mood after claiming their first win of the season, but we think that they could experience disappointment in Saturday's clash against a Wrexham side that has won both of their two home games this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 58.36%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 18.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawShrewsbury Town
58.36% (-0.182 -0.18) 23.01% (-0.038 -0.04) 18.63% (0.22 0.22)
Both teams to score 49.43% (0.496 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.38% (0.463 0.46)49.62% (-0.46400000000001 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.36% (0.415 0.41)71.64% (-0.414 -0.41)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.29% (0.101 0.1)16.71% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.4% (0.18 0.18)46.6% (-0.181 -0.18)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.35% (0.52399999999999 0.52)40.65% (-0.525 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.75% (0.466 0.47)77.25% (-0.46599999999999 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 58.36%
    Shrewsbury Town 18.63%
    Draw 23%
WrexhamDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 12.15% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-0 @ 10.87% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.49% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.84% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.9% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.61% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.027 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 58.36%
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.79% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 23%
0-1 @ 6.11% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.92% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.75% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 18.63%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Shrewsbury

Wrexham
87.5%
Draw
5.6%
Shrewsbury Town
6.9%
72
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2024 2pm
Third Round
Shrewsbury
0-1
Wrexham

Bowman (57'), Anderson (60')
O'Connor (72')
McClean (57'), Tozer (88')
Apr 13, 2008 3pm
Shrewsbury
3-0
Wrexham
Moss (58'), McIntyre (7'), Constable (68')
Davies (34'), Hibbert (75')

Spender (17'), Roberts (27'), Broughton (39')
Nov 4, 2007 3pm
Wrexham
0-1
Shrewsbury

Done (87'), Garrett (90')
Symes (59')
Moss (21'), Symes (79')
Apr 24, 2007 3pm
Shrewsbury
0-1
Wrexham
Proctor (79')
Proctor (64'), Valentine (66')
Feb 25, 2007 3pm
Wrexham
1-3
Shrewsbury
Williams (55')
Roberts (13'), Williams (34'), Llewellyn (64'), McEvilly (89')
Evans (40')
Fortune-West (8', 51'), Asamoah (38')
Tierney (14'), Edwards (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham8710178922
2Wrexham9522147717
3Mansfield TownMansfield85211511417
4Stockport CountyStockport8431137615
5Lincoln CityLincoln8431137615
6Blackpool94321714315
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield105051411315
8Barnsley104331515015
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe84221613314
10Stevenage1042487114
11Peterborough UnitedPeterborough104241618-214
12Exeter CityExeter841396313
13Bolton WanderersBolton84131313013
14Reading84131212013
15Charlton AthleticCharlton941499013
16Wigan AthleticWigan933395412
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham9243710-310
18Bristol Rovers93151015-510
19Northampton TownNorthampton82241013-38
20Leyton Orient9225912-38
21Crawley TownCrawley8215512-77
22Burton Albion8044916-74
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury9117615-94
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge8017616-101


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