Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Sevilla |
46.64% ( -0.07) | 23.64% ( 0.06) | 29.71% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 60.18% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.53% ( -0.29) | 41.47% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.13% ( -0.29) | 63.86% ( 0.29) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.98% ( -0.14) | 18.02% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.1% ( -0.24) | 48.9% ( 0.24) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.4% ( -0.14) | 26.6% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.18% ( -0.19) | 61.82% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Sevilla |
2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.69% Total : 46.65% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.63% | 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 29.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |