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La Liga | Gameweek 21
Jan 21, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Sevilla logo

Girona
5 - 1
Sevilla

Dovbyk (13', 15', 19'), Tsygankov (56'), Stuani (89')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Romero (10')
Sow (61'), Mejbri (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Girona and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Girona 3-1 Rayo Vallecano
Wednesday, January 17 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Getafe 1-3 Sevilla
Tuesday, January 16 at 7pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Girona 2-1 Sevilla

Sevilla certainly have enough quality to pick up a positive result this weekend, but Girona will be determined to return to winning ways in Spain's top flight. We are expecting a close match in terms of the scoreline but are backing Girona to navigate their way to another three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
GironaDrawSevilla
46.64% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07) 23.64% (0.062999999999999 0.06) 29.71% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 60.18% (-0.219 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.53% (-0.29 -0.29)41.47% (0.29 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.13% (-0.292 -0.29)63.86% (0.293 0.29)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.98% (-0.13900000000001 -0.14)18.02% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.1% (-0.239 -0.24)48.9% (0.24 0.24)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.4% (-0.14200000000001 -0.14)26.6% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.18% (-0.189 -0.19)61.82% (0.191 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Girona 46.65%
    Sevilla 29.71%
    Draw 23.63%
GironaDrawSevilla
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.21% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.04% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.02% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.72% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 46.65%
1-1 @ 10.87% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.17% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.79% (0.063 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.63%
1-2 @ 7.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 6.35% (0.057 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.2% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.86% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 29.71%

How you voted: Girona vs Sevilla

Girona
77.4%
Draw
15.1%
Sevilla
7.5%
106
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 3
Sevilla
1-2
Girona
Gudelj (45+2')
Ocampos (58'), Salas (74')
Herrera (16'), Garcia (56')
Martinez (37')
May 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 32
Sevilla
0-2
Girona
Juanpe (23'), Castellanos (55')
Jan 14, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 17
Girona
2-1
Sevilla
Stuani (46'), Herrera (88')
Kouassi (13')
Apr 28, 2019 1pm
Gameweek 35
Girona
1-0
Sevilla

Mesa (67'), Banega (90')
Banega (90')
Dec 16, 2018 11am
Gameweek 16
Sevilla
2-0
Girona
Banega (55' pen.), Sarabia (64')
Banega (85'), Sarabia (89')

Fernandez (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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