La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 4

Dec 23, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Atletico
1 - 0
Sevilla

Llorente (46')
Molina (27'), Gimenez (38'), Witsel (77'), Correa (77'), De Paul (85'), Llorente (90+4'), Azpilicueta (90')
Soyuncu (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Suso (43'), Salas (68'), Ramos (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 3-3 Getafe
Tuesday, December 19 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Granada 0-3 Sevilla
Tuesday, December 19 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Sevilla

Atletico will be in a good place following their huge win over Rayo last time out, but the same cannot be said for a struggling Sevilla outfit. The visitors have the quality to secure a positive result, but we are finding it difficult to back anything other than a home success on Sunday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 20.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Sevilla
57.39% ( -5.29)	22.02% ( 1.59)	20.59% ( 3.7)

Both teams to score 55.89% (

1.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.35% (

-1.38)

42.65% (

1.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.95% (

-1.39)

65.05% (

1.39)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.37% (

-2.04)

14.63% (

2.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.25% (

-4.07)

42.75% (

4.07)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.46% (

3.2)

34.54% (

-3.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.75% (

3.25)

71.25% (

-3.25)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 57.39%

Sevilla 20.59%

Draw 22.01%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Sevilla
2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.87) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.51) 3-0 @ 5.98% ( -1.07) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.5) 4-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.78) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.3) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.41) Other @ 2.87% Total : 57.39%	1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.73) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.43) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.3) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.01%	1-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.81) 0-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.74) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.6) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.43) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.3) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.28) Other @ 2.05% Total : 20.59%