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La Liga
Sevilla logo
La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Alaves logo

Sevilla
2 - 3
Alaves

Mir (70'), Ocampos (82' pen.)
Soumare (50'), Marcao (58'), Navas (63'), Mariano (73')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Tenaglia (26'), Kike (40'), Duarte (90')
Marin (23'), Benavidez (81'), Garcia (90+2'), Kike (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Racing de Ferrol 1-2 Sevilla
Sunday, January 7 at 3pm in Copa del Rey

Alaves

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Betis
Saturday, January 6 at 7pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Sevilla 2-1 Alaves

 Sevilla desperately need a win, but their home record has been poor this season, picking up just 10 points from 10 matches. Alaves have struggled on their travels, though, collecting only four points from 10 games, and we are backing the hosts to secure what would be a huge three points on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 46.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 25.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
SevillaDrawAlaves
46.78% (-0.623 -0.62) 27.42% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 25.79% (0.668 0.67)
Both teams to score 45.59% (0.652 0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.81% (0.564 0.56)59.18% (-0.564 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.39% (0.434 0.43)79.61% (-0.435 -0.44)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.66% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)25.34% (0.047999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.87% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)60.13% (0.064 0.06)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.06% (0.914 0.91)38.94% (-0.914 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.33% (0.85 0.85)75.66% (-0.851 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 46.77%
    Alaves 25.79%
    Draw 27.42%
SevillaDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 13.54% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-0 @ 9.3% (-0.226 -0.23)
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.25% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.045 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 46.77%
1-1 @ 12.77% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.87% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-2 @ 4.14% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 9.31% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.03% (0.161 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.39% (0.123 0.12)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.096 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 25.79%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Alaves

Sevilla
74.2%
Draw
17.5%
Alaves
8.2%
97
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 2
Alaves
4-3
Sevilla
Rioja (7'), Duarte (44'), Kike (54', 59')
Gorosabel (90+1')
Abqar (15' og.), Lamela (41'), Mir (90+7')
Gudelj (62'), Torres (90+9')
> Preview
Jan 17, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Alaves
0-1
Sevilla
Rakitic (48')
Mar 4, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 27
Alaves
0-0
Sevilla
Lejeune (34'), Duarte (49'), Pons (62')
Jordan (12')
> Preview
Nov 20, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 14
Sevilla
2-2
Alaves
Ocampos (38'), Rakitic (90+2')
Ocampos (45+6'), Mir (60'), Lopetegui (90+5'), Fernando (90+5'), Rakitic (90+5')
Laguardia (5'), Joselu (45+7' pen.)
N'Diaye (45'), Duarte (50'), Mendez (73'), Lejeune (89')
> Preview
May 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 38
Sevilla
1-0
Alaves
Papu (90+2')
Vidal (29'), Lopetegui (85')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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