La Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 3, 2023 at 1pm UK
Iberostar Estadi
Mallorca0 - 0Alaves
We said: Mallorca 1-1 Alaves
Mallorca have drawn half of their 14 league matches this season, and we are expecting another stalemate here. Alaves will fancy their chances of claiming all three points considering their recent form, but Mallorca should be good enough for a share of the spoils on Sunday afternoon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 39.94%. A draw had a probability of 31.6% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 28.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 2-1 (7.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.99%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Alaves |
39.94% ( 0.04) | 31.59% ( -0.07) | 28.47% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 37.1% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
