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La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 22, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Alaves logo

Villarreal
1 - 1
Alaves

Moreno (65' pen.)
Pedraza (9'), Sorloth (23'), Femenia (35'), Comesana (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Omorodion (48')
Guevara (14'), Sivera (33'), Abqar (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 1-1 Betis
Sunday, October 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 1-0 Alaves

A scrappy 1-0 win would do Villarreal here, as it is a result and not a performance that they need most at this moment in time. Alaves are capable of making it an uncomfortable match, but we believe that the home side will have enough quality to secure a much-needed three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 25.66% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
VillarrealDrawAlaves
49.29% (0.467 0.47) 25.05% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 25.66% (-0.403 -0.4)
Both teams to score 52.31% (-0.15 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.62% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)50.37% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.69% (-0.023 -0.02)72.31% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.54% (0.18599999999999 0.19)20.45% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.09% (0.299 0.3)52.91% (-0.303 -0.3)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.76% (-0.34699999999999 -0.35)34.23% (0.343 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.07% (-0.372 -0.37)70.93% (0.36800000000001 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 49.29%
    Alaves 25.66%
    Draw 25.05%
VillarrealDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 11.11% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.82% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 5% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.67% (0.085 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.85% (0.044 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 49.29%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 7.51% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.38% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.02% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 25.66%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Alaves

Villarreal
70.5%
Draw
18.2%
Alaves
11.4%
44
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 34
Alaves
2-1
Villarreal
Laguardia (4'), Escalante (31')
Garcia (52'), Escalante (69'), Laguardia (80'), Duarte (90+2'), Jason (90+5')
Chukwueze (47')
Dia (41'), Capoue (76'), Emery (86')
Dec 21, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 4
Villarreal
5-2
Alaves
Moreno (18', 88'), Dia (27', 76'), Pino (79')
Pons (44'), Joselu (65')
N'Diaye (45+1'), Calleja (45+1'), Lopez (49')
Apr 21, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 31
Alaves
2-1
Villarreal
Joselu (17'), Mendez (80')
Garcia (69'), Mendez (74')
Alcacer (50')
Pedraza (63')
Sep 30, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 4
Villarreal
3-1
Alaves
Alcacer (13', 67'), Moreno (45' pen.)
Mendez (36')
Laguardia (74'), Navarro (82')
(89')
Jan 25, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
Alaves
1-2
Villarreal
Joselu (80')
Ely (45'), Duarte (82')
Bacca (10'), Nino (89')
Quintilla (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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