La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 10

Oct 22, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio de la Ceramica

Villarreal
1 - 1
Alaves

Moreno (65' pen.)
Pedraza (9'), Sorloth (23'), Femenia (35'), Comesana (58')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Omorodion (48')
Guevara (14'), Sivera (33'), Abqar (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Villarreal 1-2 Las Palmas
Sunday, October 8 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Alaves 1-1 Betis
Sunday, October 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Villarreal 1-0 Alaves

A scrappy 1-0 win would do Villarreal here, as it is a result and not a performance that they need most at this moment in time. Alaves are capable of making it an uncomfortable match, but we believe that the home side will have enough quality to secure a much-needed three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 25.66% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Alaves
49.29% ( 0.47)	25.05% ( -0.07)	25.66% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 52.31% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.62% (

-0.02)

50.37% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.69% (

-0.02)

72.31% (

0.02)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.54% (

0.19)

20.45% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.09% (

0.3)

52.91% (

-0.3)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.76% (

-0.35)

34.23% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.07% (

-0.37)

70.93% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 49.29%

Alaves 25.66%

Draw 25.05%

Villarreal	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 49.29%	1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.05%	0-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.22% Total : 25.66%