Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 21, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Apostolos Nikolaidis
Panathinaikos2 - 0Villarreal
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Panetolikos 0-5 Panathinaikos
Saturday, September 16 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague
Saturday, September 16 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Villarreal 2-1 Almeria
Sunday, September 17 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Sunday, September 17 at 3.15pm in La Liga
We said: Panathinaikos 3-1 Villarreal
The hosts have had a slightly stronger start to the new campaign, and with their attacking qualities and Villarreal's defensive problems it should be Panathinaikos that take all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 36.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.
Result | ||
Panathinaikos | Draw | Villarreal |
36.85% ( -0.02) | 25.85% ( 0.01) | 37.3% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.76% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.5% ( -0.03) | 49.5% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.46% ( -0.03) | 71.54% ( 0.03) |
Panathinaikos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.87% ( -0.03) | 26.13% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.8% ( -0.03) | 61.2% ( 0.03) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.13% ( -0.01) | 25.87% ( 0.01) |