Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cadiz | Draw | Villarreal |
30.39% ( -0.07) | 27.54% ( -0.02) | 42.07% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 48% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.54% ( 0.02) | 57.46% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.74% ( 0.02) | 78.26% ( -0.02) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.71% ( -0.03) | 34.29% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.01% ( -0.04) | 70.99% ( 0.03) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.04% ( 0.05) | 26.95% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.71% ( 0.07) | 62.29% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Cadiz | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 30.39% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.53% | 0-1 @ 12.11% 1-2 @ 8.5% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 42.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |