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[monks data]
Villarreal logo
La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 26, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio El Madrigal
Cadiz logo

Villarreal
3 - 3
Cadiz

Torres (43'), Dia (80'), Danjuma (90+5')
Mandi (20'), Alcacer (45+2'), Coquelin (70')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Lozano (14', 45+1', 52')
Espino (32'), Fali (37'), Lozano (50'), Alejo (59'), Akapo (89'), Haroyan (90+1')

Preview: Villarreal vs. Cadiz - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two teams who have lost consecutive league games will face each other on Tuesday, when Villarreal host Cadiz with four points separating the sides heading into the encounter.

Villarreal have won twice in La Liga this season with five draws hindering their progress, while their opponents have only emerged victorious once this term.


Match preview

Villarreal coach Unai Emery reacts on September 25, 2021© Reuters

Villarreal have 11 points to their name, which leaves them seven points shy of the tally they had at the same stage last season, and that deficit is due to the fact that the Yellow Submarine have struggled to convert draws into victories.

Unai Emery's side enter the fixture off the back of two consecutive defeats in the league, losing 2-1 to both Osasuna and Athletic Bilbao.

In their most recent encounter away to Athletic Bilbao, Francis Coquelin cancelled out Raul Garcia's opener, but the hosts took all three points, when Iker Muniain scored a penalty in the 77th minute.

Emery will be proud of his side's defensive displays, with Villarreal only conceding seven goals in La Liga this term, while also keeping five clean sheets in their nine La Liga outings.

The Yellow Submarine lost at home for the first time this season when they faced Osasuna, but before that encounter, they were unbeaten in their first three La Liga home fixtures, and they will aim to return to that form on Tuesday.

Cadiz's Ruben Sobrino receive instructions from Cadiz coach Alvaro Cervera in February 2021© Reuters

Cadiz have struggled so far this season, with only one victory and seven points to their name this term.

Los Piratas are bereft of confidence, as they enter the fixture winless in their previous five games, and in their last two outings, they have suffered 2-0 defeats at the hands of Espanyol and Alaves.

Against Alaves at the weekend, Cadiz were condemned to defeat courtesy of a brace from Joselu, who scored from the spot in the sixth minute, before completing the scoring in stoppage time.

Concerningly, Cadiz have struggled for goals of late, scoring just once in their last five games, but the issues for head coach Alvaro Cervera are not just in the final third.

They have also struggled defensively, shipping 15 goals this term, and they need to improve at both ends of the pitch if they are to avoid a relegation battle.

Villarreal La Liga form:
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L

Villarreal form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L

Cadiz La Liga form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L



Team News

Villarreal's Yeremi Pino celebrates after winning the Europa League on May 26, 2021© Reuters

Gerard Moreno and Juan Foyth were both forced off for Villarreal against Athletic Bilbao due to hamstring injuries, and the pair are set for a spell in the treatment room.

That could mean that Paco Alcacer and Serge Aurier come into the starting lineup for Tuesday's encounter, and for Aurier it would be his first start for the club.

Emery will also be without Boulaye Dia, who has missed Villarreal's last four games due to a knee problem.

Cadiz are still missing Jon Ander Garrido, who is absent due to a knee tendon injury.

The visitors have utilised a 4-1-4-1 formation in their last three away games, and Cervera is likely to use that system on Tuesday.

Jens Jonsson and Alex Fernandez were introduced at half time on Saturday, and the pair could come into the starting lineup for the Villarreal clash.

Villarreal possible starting lineup:
Rulli; Aurier, Albiol, Torres, Estupinan; Coquelin, Capoue, Parejo; Pino, Danjuma, Alcacer

Cadiz possible starting lineup:
Ledesma; Iza, Haroyan, Fali, Espino; Sanchez, Jonsson, Alarcon, Fernandez, Lozano; Sobrino


SM words green background

We say: Villarreal 2-0 Cadiz

Villarreal will be desperate for a victory as they bid to stay in touch with the European places, and we think the Yellow Submarine will prevail in this encounter, when they face a Cadiz side who are languishing near the relegation zone.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 59.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 17.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Villarreal vs Cadiz

Villarreal
85.7%
Draw
10.7%
Cadiz
3.6%
196
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