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La Liga
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La Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 9, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Las Palmas

Alaves
0 - 1
Las Palmas


Abqar (48'), Marin (90+7'), Gorosabel (90+2'), Garcia (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rodriguez (31')
Cardona (8'), Munoz (33'), Herrera (90+8'), Park (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Terrassa 0-1 Alaves
Wednesday, December 6 at 3pm in Copa del Rey

Las Palmas

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Tudelano 1-2 Las Palmas
Wednesday, December 6 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Alaves 0-1 Las Palmas

 Games involving Las Palmas are not often high-scoring affairs, and we are also expecting this to be a very tight match in terms of the scoreline. Both Segunda Division meetings between the two sides last season finished level, but we are backing Las Palmas to shade a close contest this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Las Palmas in this match.

Result
AlavesDrawLas Palmas
41.61% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 28.57% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 29.82% (0.084 0.08)
Both teams to score 44.9% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.75% (0.060000000000002 0.06)61.24% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.82% (0.044 0.04)81.17% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.99% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)29.01% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.09% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)64.91% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.24% (0.097999999999999 0.1)36.75% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.46% (0.097999999999999 0.1)73.54% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 41.61%
    Las Palmas 29.82%
    Draw 28.56%
AlavesDrawLas Palmas
1-0 @ 13.19% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 8.17% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.37% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 41.61%
1-1 @ 13.2%
0-0 @ 10.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.56%
0-1 @ 10.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.61% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.34% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 29.82%

How you voted: Alaves vs Las Palmas

Alaves
37.9%
Draw
20.7%
Las Palmas
41.4%
29
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 42
Las Palmas
0-0
Alaves
Park (90')
Blanco (31'), Benavidez (42'), Duarte (60'), Rioja (90+1'), Sevilla (90+5')
> Match Report
Sep 3, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 4
Alaves
1-1
Las Palmas
Rebbach (24')
Cardona (54')
Mfulu (44'), Suarez (49')
Apr 22, 2018 5.30pm
Las Palmas
0-4
Alaves

Aguirregaray (26'), Galvez (90')
El Haddadi (51', 73'), Medran (79'), Sobrino (90')
Duarte (39'), Ely (49')
Dec 8, 2017 8pm
Alaves
2-0
Las Palmas
Gomez (23'), El Haddadi (55')
Pina (57'), El Haddadi (69')
Apr 23, 2017 5.30pm
Las Palmas
1-1
Alaves
Boateng (44')
Mesa (22'), Michel (73'), Garcia (78'), Montoro (90')
Livaja (87')
Gomez (61')
Deyverson (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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