La Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 9, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Alaves0 - 1Las Palmas
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Terrassa 0-1 Alaves
Wednesday, December 6 at 3pm in Copa del Rey
Wednesday, December 6 at 3pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Tudelano 1-2 Las Palmas
Wednesday, December 6 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Wednesday, December 6 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
We said: Alaves 0-1 Las Palmas
Games involving Las Palmas are not often high-scoring affairs, and we are also expecting this to be a very tight match in terms of the scoreline. Both Segunda Division meetings between the two sides last season finished level, but we are backing Las Palmas to shade a close contest this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Las Palmas in this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Las Palmas |
41.61% ( -0.07) | 28.57% ( -0.01) | 29.82% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 44.9% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
