Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.