MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:43:35| >> :600:176804:176804:
Girona logo
Copa del Rey | Round of 16
Jan 17, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Rayo Vallecano logo

Girona
3 - 1
Rayo Vallecano

Stuani (15', 19' pen.), Blind (26')
Stuani (45+2')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Nteka (36')
Nteka (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa del Rey clash between Girona and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Almeria 0-0 Girona
Sunday, January 14 at 1pm in La Liga

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Huesca 0-2 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, January 6 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Girona 2-1 Rayo Vallecano

 Girona were surprisingly subdued against struggling Almeria on Sunday, but the fact that they are top of La Liga in January should not be underestimated. Rayo Vallecano, meanwhile, have maintained their form from the last two seasons. This should be an entertaining cup tie between two of Spain's rising clubs, but we expect Girona to perform closer to their peak levels and reach the quarter-finals for only the second time in their history. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
GironaDrawRayo Vallecano
46.58% (0.326 0.33) 24.94% (-0.5 -0.5) 28.47% (0.173 0.17)
Both teams to score 54.9% (1.723 1.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.96% (2.203 2.2)48.03% (-2.203 -2.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.8% (1.988 1.99)70.2% (-1.989 -1.99)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.33% (1.051 1.05)20.66% (-1.052 -1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.75% (1.631 1.63)53.25% (-1.632 -1.63)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2% (1.271 1.27)30.79% (-1.273 -1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.93% (1.474 1.47)67.06% (-1.474 -1.47)
Score Analysis
    Girona 46.58%
    Rayo Vallecano 28.48%
    Draw 24.93%
GironaDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 10.03% (-0.6 -0.6)
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.21 -0.21)
3-1 @ 4.9% (0.196 0.2)
3-0 @ 4.16% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.88% (0.211 0.21)
4-1 @ 1.93% (0.135 0.14)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.061 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 46.58%
1-1 @ 11.81% (-0.28 -0.28)
0-0 @ 6.36% (-0.601 -0.6)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.235 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 7.5% (-0.425 -0.43)
1-2 @ 6.96% (0.082 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.73% (0.125 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.163 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.73% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 28.48%

How you voted: Girona vs Rayo Vallecano

Girona
86.2%
Draw
7.4%
Rayo Vallecano
6.4%
94
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 13
Rayo Vallecano
1-2
Girona
Garcia (5')
Garcia (44')
Dovbyk (42'), Savio (65')
Gutierrez (13'), Martin (73')
> Preview
Mar 18, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 26
Rayo Vallecano
2-2
Girona
Isi (23'), Trejo (34')
Tsygankov (29', 52')
> Preview
Dec 29, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 15
Girona
2-2
Rayo Vallecano
Castellanos (34' pen.), Saiz (75' pen.)
Camello (2'), Isi (62')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2022 5.30pm
Round of 16
Girona
1-2
Rayo Vallecano
Espinosa (26')
Juanpe (18'), Martinez (79'), Moreno (90+7')
Martinez (90+8')
Guardiola (45+1', 48')
Suarez (26'), Catena (26'), Valentin (69'), Isi (90+4'), Comesana (90+6'), Trejo (90+7')
> Preview
Jun 20, 2021 8pm
Girona
0-2
Rayo Vallecano

Joel Barcenas (31'), Juanpe (85')
Garcia (7'), Trejo (45+1')
Velazquez (40'), Trejo (76'), Catena (90+6')
Velazquez (56')
rhs 2.0
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