Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 54.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 20.58%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
20.58% ( 1.81) | 24.49% ( 0.71) | 54.92% ( -2.52) |
Both teams to score 48.11% ( 0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.02% ( -0.48) | 52.97% ( 0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.42% ( -0.41) | 74.57% ( 0.41) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.55% ( 1.72) | 40.45% ( -1.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.94% ( 1.52) | 77.06% ( -1.52) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.79% ( -1.13) | 19.2% ( 1.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.1% ( -1.9) | 50.89% ( 1.9) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.14) Other @ 1.27% Total : 20.58% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 10.57% ( -0.58) 1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 5.82% ( -0.54) 1-3 @ 5.26% ( -0.23) 0-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.18) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.94% Total : 54.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |