La Liga | Gameweek 22
Jan 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
Almeria0 - 3Alaves
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-2 Almeria
Sunday, January 21 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Sunday, January 21 at 3.15pm in La Liga
We said: Almeria 1-1 Alaves
Alaves will enter this match in strong form, but Almeria's last two performances cannot be ignored, drawing with Girona before coming so close to picking up a point at Real Madrid. As a result, we are struggling to back the hosts to lose here, believing that they will be good enough to secure a share of the spoils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Alaves |
38.94% ( -0.11) | 27.78% ( 0.02) | 33.28% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 48.19% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
