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La Liga
Alaves logo
La Liga | Gameweek 21
Jan 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Cadiz logo

Alaves
1 - 0
Cadiz

Rioja (51' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

Guardiola (22'), Alejo (49'), Pires (50'), Fali (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Alaves
Tuesday, January 16 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Cadiz

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 1-4 Valencia
Sunday, January 14 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Alaves 1-0 Cadiz

 Alaves have been impressive in their last two league matches, and we are backing the home side to pick up another positive result here. It would not be a surprise to see a draw, as Cadiz have shared the points in nine of their 20 league matches this season, but Alaves should have enough to shade this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 50.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 22.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.

Result
AlavesDrawCadiz
50.13% (0.343 0.34) 27.5% (-0.147 -0.15) 22.37% (-0.196 -0.2)
Both teams to score 42.31% (0.16 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.24% (0.315 0.31)61.76% (-0.315 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.44% (0.232 0.23)81.56% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.1% (0.303 0.3)24.9% (-0.305 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.48% (0.41999999999999 0.42)59.52% (-0.421 -0.42)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.34% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)43.66% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.16% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)79.84% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 50.12%
    Cadiz 22.37%
    Draw 27.49%
AlavesDrawCadiz
1-0 @ 15.11% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.5% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.87% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.04% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 50.12%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 10.86% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 3.61% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 27.49%
0-1 @ 9.01% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-2 @ 5.19% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.73% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.37%

How you voted: Alaves vs Cadiz

Alaves
67.2%
Draw
23.0%
Cadiz
9.8%
61
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 1
Cadiz
1-0
Alaves
Fede (7')
Hernandez (67'), Sobrino (75'), Fali (84')
Escalante (88')

Sedlar (48'), Duarte (52')
> Preview
May 22, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 38
Alaves
0-1
Cadiz
Lozano (76')
Hernandez (27')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 10
Cadiz
0-2
Alaves
Joselu (6' pen., 90+1')
Miazga (27'), Navarro (67')
> Preview
Mar 13, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 27
Alaves
1-1
Cadiz
Joselu (36' pen.)
Pina (70'), Garcia (80')
Garcia (81')
Alex (84' pen.)
Salvi (34'), Perea (41'), Fali (74'), Saponjic (90+2')
> Preview
Jan 10, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 18
Cadiz
3-1
Alaves
Alex (15'), Lozano (56'), Negredo (68')
Fali (22'), Perea (82')
Joselu (23' pen.)
Pina (40'), Deyverson (44'), Tachi (45+2')
Tachi (50')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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