We said: Real Betis 1-1 Barcelona
Real Betis' absentees for this match meant that we were incredibly close to predicting a Barcelona win on Sunday. The Catalan outfit are also missing some key players, though, and we are finding it difficult to back them with any real confidence, ultimately settling on a low-scoring draw in Seville.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 51.96%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 24.99% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 2-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.