

Real Madrid4 - 1Barcelona
The Match
Match Report
Team News
Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, January 10 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana
Thursday, January 11 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Madrid | Draw | Barcelona |
45.63% | 24.13% | 30.24% |
Both teams to score 58.76% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.53% | 43.47% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.13% | 65.87% |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.77% | 19.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.07% | 50.93% |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.75% | 27.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.32% | 62.68% |
Score Analysis |
Real Madrid | Draw | Barcelona |
2-1 @ 9.26% 1-0 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 7.12% 3-1 @ 5.09% 3-0 @ 3.92% 3-2 @ 3.31% 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.22% Total : 45.63% | 1-1 @ 11.23% 2-2 @ 6.02% 0-0 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.13% | 1-2 @ 7.3% 0-1 @ 6.81% 0-2 @ 4.43% 1-3 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 2.61% 0-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.98% Total : 30.24% |
How you voted: Real Madrid vs Barcelona







