MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 11:53:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
Alaves logo
Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
Osauna logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
Real Madrid logo
Real Sociedad logo
Real Valladolid logo
Sevilla logo
Valencia logo
Villarreal logo
La Liga header desktop

La Liga
Real Madrid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 17
Dec 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Villarreal logo

Real Madrid
4 - 1
Villarreal

Bellingham (25'), Rodrygo (37'), Diaz (64'), Modric (68')
Bellingham (67'), Tchouameni (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Luis Morales (54')
Altimira (67'), Akhomach (74'), Capoue (85')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Villarreal.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga clash with Villarreal.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Villarreal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-3 Real Madrid
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League

Villarreal

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Rennes 2-3 Villarreal
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Real Madrid 2-1 Villarreal

 Villarreal's league form this season has been disappointing, but they are more than capable of making this a very tricky match for Real Madrid. The hosts might have to suffer on Sunday, but we are expecting them to navigate their way to what would be a hugely important three points in terms of the title race. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 66.19%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 15.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 3-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a Villarreal win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawVillarreal
66.19% (0.10900000000001 0.11) 18.08% (-0.251 -0.25) 15.73% (0.14 0.14)
Both teams to score 60.46% (1.358 1.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.75% (1.558 1.56)32.24% (-1.561 -1.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.15% (1.791 1.79)53.85% (-1.794 -1.79)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.9% (0.446 0.45)9.1% (-0.449 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.1% (1.062 1.06)30.9% (-1.065 -1.07)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.51% (1.171 1.17)33.49% (-1.174 -1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.87% (1.261 1.26)70.13% (-1.263 -1.26)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 66.19%
    Villarreal 15.73%
    Draw 18.08%
Real MadridDrawVillarreal
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-0 @ 8.75% (-0.375 -0.38)
3-1 @ 7.65% (0.079 0.08)
1-0 @ 7.3% (-0.47 -0.47)
3-0 @ 7% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-1 @ 4.59% (0.138 0.14)
4-0 @ 4.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.19% (0.174 0.17)
4-2 @ 2.51% (0.152 0.15)
5-1 @ 2.2% (0.109 0.11)
5-0 @ 2.01% (0.037 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.2% (0.096 0.1)
4-3 @ 0.92% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 66.19%
1-1 @ 7.99% (-0.246 -0.25)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.113 0.11)
0-0 @ 3.05% (-0.262 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 18.08%
1-2 @ 4.37% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.33% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 1.82% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.59% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 15.73%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Villarreal

Real Madrid
87.4%
Draw
8.0%
Villarreal
4.6%
87
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 28
Real Madrid
2-3
Villarreal
Torres (16' og.), Junior (48')
Chukwueze (39', 80'), Luis Morales (70')
> Preview
Jan 19, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Villarreal
2-3
Real Madrid
Capoue (4'), Chukwueze (42')
Junior (57'), Militao (69'), Ceballos (86')
> Match Report
Jan 7, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 16
Villarreal
2-1
Real Madrid
Pino (47'), Moreno (63' pen.)
Benzema (60' pen.)
> Match Report
Feb 12, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 24
Villarreal
0-0
Real Madrid
Foyth (23'), Albiol (51')
Militao (23'), Asensio (29'), Bale (45+2'), Casemiro (88')
> Preview
Sep 25, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 7
Real Madrid
0-0
Villarreal
Junior (40')
Coquelin (55'), Gomez (70')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010
> La Liga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!