Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 29, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Real Madrid4 - 2Napoli
FT(HT: 2-1)
The Match
Match Report
Real Madrid secure their spot as Group C winners courtesy of a 4-2 victory over Napoli in Wednesday's Champions League contest at Bernabeu.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Real Madrid and Napoli.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Real Madrid and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up for Wednesday's Champions League tie against Napoli at the Bernabeu.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash with Napoli.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cadiz 0-3 Real Madrid
Sunday, November 26 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Sunday, November 26 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atalanta 1-2 Napoli
Saturday, November 25 at 5pm in Serie A
Saturday, November 25 at 5pm in Serie A
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Napoli |
49.01% ( 0.01) | 25.05% | 25.93% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.54% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.81% ( -0) | 50.19% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.85% ( -0) | 72.15% ( 0.01) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.5% ( 0) | 20.5% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.01% ( 0) | 52.98% ( 0) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.09% ( -0) | 33.91% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.41% ( -0.01) | 70.58% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Real Madrid 49.01%
Napoli 25.93%
Draw 25.05%
| Real Madrid | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.73% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.99% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.83% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.66% Total : 49.01% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.95% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 25.93% |
How you voted: Real Madrid vs Napoli
Real Madrid
68.4%Draw
17.5%Napoli
14.2%212
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Napoli
2-3
Real Madrid
Junior (27'), Bellingham (34'), Meret (78' og.)
Camavinga (29'), Bellingham (70'), Arrizabalaga (89')
Camavinga (29'), Bellingham (70'), Arrizabalaga (89')
Mar 7, 2017 7.45pm
Round of 16
Napoli
1-3
Real Madrid
Form Guide
Build-up
Real Madrid team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Napoli
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash with Napoli.
1 year ago
How Real Madrid could line up against Napoli
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up for Wednesday's Champions League tie against Napoli at the Bernabeu.
1 year ago
Real Madrid suffer Luka Modric injury blow ahead of Napoli clash
Real Madrid will be without midfielder Luka Modric for their Champions League encounter with Napoli on Wednesday due to a minor hamstring issue.
1 year ago
