Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 12

Nov 12, 2023 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
0 - 1
Empoli

Cajuste (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kovalenko (90+1')
Cancellieri (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 1-1 Union Berlin
Wednesday, November 8 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Frosinone 2-1 Empoli
Monday, November 6 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

None of the last nine Serie A meetings between these clubs have ended level - with six wins for Sunday's hosts and three for their Tuscan counterparts - and a draw is not the likeliest outcome on this occasion. Although Napoli have been short of their best on home turf, Empoli do not travel well and concede goals at an alarming rate on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 70.98%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 11.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Empoli
70.98% ( 0.19)	17.59% ( -0.05)	11.43% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 49.3% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.49% (

-0.19)

40.5% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.11% (

-0.19)

62.88% (

0.19)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.83% (

-0)

10.17% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.59% (

-0)

33.4% (

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.88% (

-0.38)

45.12% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.97% (

-0.3)

81.02% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Napoli 70.97%

Empoli 11.43%

Draw 17.59%

Napoli	Draw	Empoli
2-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.9% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.45% Total : 70.97%	1-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.86% Total : 17.59%	0-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2% Total : 11.43%