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Serie A
Napoli logo
Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Fiorentina logo

Napoli
1 - 3
Fiorentina

Osimhen (45+5' pen.)
Simeone (90+1'), Cajuste (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Brekalo (7'), Bonaventura (63'), Gonzalez (90+3')
Terracciano (45+4'), Martinez (69'), Bonaventura (70'), Ranieri (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-3 Real Madrid
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Ferencvaros
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Napoli 2-2 Fiorentina

 With both teams scoring freely at the moment, goals are surely guaranteed at Stadio Maradona on Sunday evening. Napoli can certainly expect to capitalise on Fiorentina's defensive vulnerabilities, but they may not be able to keep the back door fastened shut. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawFiorentina
44.93% (-1.916 -1.92) 23.29% (0.219 0.22) 31.78% (1.696 1.7)
Both teams to score 62.61% (0.144 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.23% (-0.21 -0.21)38.77% (0.208 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.92% (-0.222 -0.22)61.07% (0.221 0.22)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.36% (-0.82600000000001 -0.83)17.64% (0.825 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.76% (-1.451 -1.45)48.24% (1.449 1.45)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.02% (0.92800000000001 0.93)23.98% (-0.929 -0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.77% (1.308 1.31)58.22% (-1.309 -1.31)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 44.93%
    Fiorentina 31.78%
    Draw 23.28%
NapoliDrawFiorentina
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.161 -0.16)
1-0 @ 7.34% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-0 @ 6.37% (-0.29 -0.29)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-2 @ 3.76% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.273 -0.27)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.17 -0.17)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.167 -0.17)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 44.93%
1-1 @ 10.47% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.49% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.23% (0.041 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.79% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.28%
1-2 @ 7.48% (0.269 0.27)
0-1 @ 6.04% (0.218 0.22)
0-2 @ 4.31% (0.267 0.27)
1-3 @ 3.56% (0.219 0.22)
2-3 @ 3.09% (0.11 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.178 0.18)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.11 0.11)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 31.78%

How you voted: Napoli vs Fiorentina

Napoli
74.2%
Draw
21.0%
Fiorentina
4.8%
62
Head to Head
May 7, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 34
Napoli
1-0
Fiorentina
Osimhen (74' pen.)
> Preview
Aug 28, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Fiorentina
0-0
Napoli
Martinez (60'), Jovic (68')
Zambo Anguissa (3'), Spalletti (19'), Raspadori (90'), Ndombele (90+3')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 32
Napoli
2-3
Fiorentina
Mertens (58'), Osimhen (84')
Gonzalez (29'), Ikone (66'), Cabral (72')
Milenkovic (11'), Cabral (73'), Ikone (88')
> Preview
Jan 13, 2022 5pm
Final
Napoli
2-5
Fiorentina
Mertens (44'), Petagna (90+5')
Rrahmani (56'), Fabian (77'), Tuanzebe (85')
Lozano (84'), Fabian (90+3')
Vlahovic (41'), Biraghi (57'), Venuti (105+1'), Piatek (108'), Maleh (119')
Duncan (23'), Castrovilli (59')
Dragowski (45+2')
> Preview
Oct 3, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 7
Fiorentina
1-2
Napoli
Martinez (28')
Bonaventura (31'), Martinez (36'), Italiano (41'), Pulgar (52')
Lozano (39'), Rrahmani (50')
Zambo Anguissa (54'), Rui (67'), Demme (90+1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810
> Serie A Full Table


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