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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Fiorentina logo

Frosinone
1 - 1
Fiorentina

Soule (70')
Mazzitelli (51'), Okoli (64'), Oyono (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gonzalez (19')
Milenkovic (22'), Parisi (69'), Mandragora (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Frosinone and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 1-1 Frosinone
Friday, September 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Frosinone 2-2 Fiorentina

Frosinone have averaged over two goals per game on home turf this term, so should be expected to score at least once against a hit-and-miss Fiorentina side being tested by an intense schedule. Amid a run of six games in 17 days, the Viola may slip up at Stadio Stirpe, where their hosts have proved impressive so far. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
FrosinoneDrawFiorentina
27.11% (0.441 0.44) 24.96% (0.426 0.43) 47.94% (-0.867 -0.87)
Both teams to score 53.85% (-1.008 -1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.05% (-1.497 -1.5)48.95% (1.496 1.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.96% (-1.368 -1.37)71.04% (1.369 1.37)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.69% (-0.447 -0.45)32.31% (0.446 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.19% (-0.508 -0.51)68.81% (0.50700000000001 0.51)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (-0.95899999999999 -0.96)20.45% (0.958 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.09% (-1.543 -1.54)52.91% (1.543 1.54)
Score Analysis
    Frosinone 27.11%
    Fiorentina 47.93%
    Draw 24.95%
FrosinoneDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 7.47% (0.361 0.36)
2-1 @ 6.69% (0.05 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.22% (0.155 0.16)
3-1 @ 2.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.59% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 27.11%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.397 0.4)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 10.48% (0.33 0.33)
1-2 @ 9.4% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 8.32% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.97% (-0.201 -0.2)
0-3 @ 4.4% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.149 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-4 @ 1.75% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 47.93%

How you voted: Frosinone vs Fiorentina

Frosinone
23.5%
Draw
35.8%
Fiorentina
40.7%
81
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 31
Fiorentina
0-1
Frosinone

Dabo (90')
Ciofani (84')
Beghetto (41'), Paganini (59'), Capuano (71'), Goldaniga (90')
Nov 9, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
Frosinone
1-1
Fiorentina
Pinamonti (89')
Zampano (26'), Ariaudo (48'), Maiello (68')
Benassi (47')
Mar 20, 2016 2pm
Frosinone
0-0
Fiorentina
Ajeti (25'), Gori (35'), Kragl (82'), Sammarco (88')
Alonso (31'), Roncaglia (36'), Astori (49'), Kalinic (81')
Nov 1, 2015 11.30am
Fiorentina
4-1
Frosinone
Rebic (24'), Rodriguez (29'), Babacar (31' pen.), Suarez (43')
Frara (87')
Paganini (28')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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