Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Frosinone | Draw | Fiorentina |
27.11% ( 0.44) | 24.96% ( 0.43) | 47.94% ( -0.87) |
Both teams to score 53.85% ( -1.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.05% ( -1.5) | 48.95% ( 1.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.96% ( -1.37) | 71.04% ( 1.37) |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.69% ( -0.45) | 32.31% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.19% ( -0.51) | 68.81% ( 0.51) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.55% ( -0.96) | 20.45% ( 0.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.09% ( -1.54) | 52.91% ( 1.54) |
Score Analysis |
Frosinone | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.62% Total : 27.11% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.95% | 0-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.71% Total : 47.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |