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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Fiorentina logo

Frosinone
1 - 1
Fiorentina

Soule (70')
Mazzitelli (51'), Okoli (64'), Oyono (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gonzalez (19')
Milenkovic (22'), Parisi (69'), Mandragora (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Frosinone and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 1-1 Frosinone
Friday, September 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Frosinone 2-2 Fiorentina

Frosinone have averaged over two goals per game on home turf this term, so should be expected to score at least once against a hit-and-miss Fiorentina side being tested by an intense schedule. Amid a run of six games in 17 days, the Viola may slip up at Stadio Stirpe, where their hosts have proved impressive so far. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
FrosinoneDrawFiorentina
27.11% (0.441 0.44) 24.96% (0.426 0.43) 47.94% (-0.867 -0.87)
Both teams to score 53.85% (-1.008 -1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.05% (-1.497 -1.5)48.95% (1.496 1.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.96% (-1.368 -1.37)71.04% (1.369 1.37)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.69% (-0.447 -0.45)32.31% (0.446 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.19% (-0.508 -0.51)68.81% (0.50700000000001 0.51)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (-0.95899999999999 -0.96)20.45% (0.958 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.09% (-1.543 -1.54)52.91% (1.543 1.54)
Score Analysis
    Frosinone 27.11%
    Fiorentina 47.93%
    Draw 24.95%
FrosinoneDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 7.47% (0.361 0.36)
2-1 @ 6.69% (0.05 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.22% (0.155 0.16)
3-1 @ 2.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.59% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 27.11%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.397 0.4)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 10.48% (0.33 0.33)
1-2 @ 9.4% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 8.32% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.97% (-0.201 -0.2)
0-3 @ 4.4% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.149 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-4 @ 1.75% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 47.93%

How you voted: Frosinone vs Fiorentina

Frosinone
23.5%
Draw
35.8%
Fiorentina
40.7%
81
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 31
Fiorentina
0-1
Frosinone

Dabo (90')
Ciofani (84')
Beghetto (41'), Paganini (59'), Capuano (71'), Goldaniga (90')
Nov 9, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
Frosinone
1-1
Fiorentina
Pinamonti (89')
Zampano (26'), Ariaudo (48'), Maiello (68')
Benassi (47')
Mar 20, 2016 2pm
Frosinone
0-0
Fiorentina
Ajeti (25'), Gori (35'), Kragl (82'), Sammarco (88')
Alonso (31'), Roncaglia (36'), Astori (49'), Kalinic (81')
Nov 1, 2015 11.30am
Fiorentina
4-1
Frosinone
Rebic (24'), Rodriguez (29'), Babacar (31' pen.), Suarez (43')
Frara (87')
Paganini (28')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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