We said: Genk 1-2 Fiorentina
Fiorentina have been up and down in the early stages of the season, but a win over Atalanta at the weekend should bring great confidence to the side for their trip to Belgium.
Genk have made a fine start themselves and should put up a good account of themselves, but they may come up just short here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.