Conference League | Group Stage
Sep 21, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Luminus Arena
Genk2 - 2Fiorentina
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Union SG 0-2 Genk
Saturday, September 16 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Saturday, September 16 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Fiorentina 3-2 Atalanta
Sunday, September 17 at 5pm in Serie A
Sunday, September 17 at 5pm in Serie A
We said: Genk 1-2 Fiorentina
Fiorentina have been up and down in the early stages of the season, but a win over Atalanta at the weekend should bring great confidence to the side for their trip to Belgium. Genk have made a fine start themselves and should put up a good account of themselves, but they may come up just short here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Fiorentina |
39.87% ( -0.05) | 23.98% ( 0.02) | 36.15% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 61.45% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.15% ( -0.08) | 40.84% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.76% ( -0.08) | 63.23% ( 0.08) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.32% ( -0.06) | 20.68% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.72% ( -0.09) | 53.27% ( 0.09) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.47% ( -0.02) | 22.52% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.9% ( -0.03) | 56.1% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Genk 39.87%
Fiorentina 36.15%
Draw 23.97%
| Genk | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.79% 3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.04% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 39.87% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.05% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 36.15% |
How you voted: Genk vs Fiorentina
Genk
19.4%Draw
30.6%Fiorentina
50.0%72
Form Guide
