Europa League

Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 17, 2023 at 7pm UK

Luminus Arena

Genk
1 - 1
Olympiacos

(Olympiacos win 2-1 on aggregate)

Paintsil (30' pen.)
Fadera (56')
Paintsil (65')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Alexandropoulos (90+5')
Masouras (45'), Rodinei (54'), Camara (56'), Quini (65'), Fortounis (78'), Biel (83'), Freire (90')
Rodinei (90+10')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Genk and Olympiacos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genk

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Cercle Brugge 0-1 Genk
Sunday, August 13 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Olympiacos

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Olympiacos 1-0 Genk
Thursday, August 10 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

We said: Genk 1-1 Olympiacos (Olympiacos to win 2-1 on aggregate)

Although Genk were able to get back to winning ways at the weekend, it remains to be seen whether their hectic schedule will benefit or hinder them against opponents who have played fewer competitive fixtures. For us, Olympiacos will be well-rested for this game and that could prove to be the difference. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 50.1%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 26.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Genk	Draw	Olympiacos
50.1% ( 0.5)	23.85% ( 0.02)	26.06% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 56.55% (

-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.04% (

-0.52)

44.96% (

0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.68% (

-0.51)

67.32% (

0.51)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.98% (

-0)

18.02% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.1% (

-0.01)

48.9% (

0.01)

Olympiacos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.98% (

-0.68)

31.02% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.67% (

-0.8)

67.34% (

0.81)

Score Analysis

Genk 50.1%

Olympiacos 26.06%

Draw 23.85%

Genk	Draw	Olympiacos
2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.57% Total : 50.1%	1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.85%	1-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.87% Total : 26.06%