We say: Genk 2-1 Servette
While Servette did put on an excellent showing on their home patch last week, they will likely find it much more difficult on the road this time around. Genk have a very good home record over the last year, and we expect them to get through to the next round, albeit by a slender margin.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for Servette had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%).