Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 58.45%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 21.21% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 1-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 1-2 (5.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Genk in this match.