UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 17, 2023 at 7pm UK

OPEL ARENA

Osijek
3 - 2
Adana Demirspor

(Adana Demirspor win 7-4 on aggregate)

Nejasmic (43'), Caktas (59'), Grzan (82' pen.)
Lovric (15'), Bukvic (17'), Grzan (76'), Brlek (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sari (31'), Erdogan (90+1')
Ndiaye (28'), Stambouli (41'), Gravillon (71'), Guler (81'), Nani (84')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Osijek and Adana Demirspor.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osijek

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Istra 1961 4-4 Osijek
Sunday, August 13 at 5.55pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Goals
for

Adana Demirspor

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Adana Demirspor 2-1 Caykur Rizespor
Sunday, August 13 at 7.45pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adana Demirspor win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Osijek had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adana Demirspor win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.41%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Osijek win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Osijek	Draw	Adana Demirspor
36.63% ( 0.54)	24.1% ( 0.14)	39.27% ( -0.68)

Both teams to score 61.03% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.58% (

-0.61)

41.41% (

0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.18% (

-0.62)

63.81% (

0.61)

Osijek Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.46% (

0.01)

22.53% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.88% (

0.01)

56.11% (

-0.02)

Adana Demirspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.78% (

-0.58)

21.21% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.89% (

-0.91)

54.1% (

0.91)

Score Analysis

Osijek 36.63%

Adana Demirspor 39.27%

Draw 24.1%

Osijek	Draw	Adana Demirspor
2-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.39% Total : 36.63%	1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.1%	1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.71% Total : 39.27%