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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Udinese logo

Napoli
4 - 1
Udinese

Zielinski (19' pen.), Osimhen (39'), Kvaratskhelia (74'), Simeone (81')
Simeone (71')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Samardzic (80')
Perez (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Napoli
Sunday, September 24 at 5pm in Serie A

Udinese

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 0-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 1-0 Udinese

 Lacking both the rhythm and spark of last season, Napoli are no longer the formidable force that swept aside all-comers up and down the Italian peninsula. They should, though, have enough in the tank to take care of goal-shy and injury-ravaged opponents on Wednesday; forcing Udinese to wait a little longer for an elusive first victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 15.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawUdinese
64.29% (0.59 0.59) 20.54% (-0.153 -0.15) 15.17% (-0.442 -0.44)
Both teams to score 50.08% (-0.553 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.94% (-0.198 -0.2)45.06% (0.192 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.59% (-0.19 -0.19)67.41% (0.184 0.18)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.71% (0.111 0.11)13.29% (-0.118 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.89% (0.228 0.23)40.11% (-0.234 -0.23)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.75% (-0.71700000000001 -0.72)42.24% (0.71 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.35% (-0.623 -0.62)78.64% (0.617 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 64.28%
    Udinese 15.17%
    Draw 20.54%
NapoliDrawUdinese
2-0 @ 11.43% (0.19 0.19)
1-0 @ 11.32% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.69% (0.161 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.63% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.88% (0.098 0.1)
4-1 @ 3.34% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.051 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.57% (0.046 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.35% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 64.28%
1-1 @ 9.76% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.046 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.095 -0.09)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 20.54%
0-1 @ 4.84% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
1-2 @ 4.21% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.08% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.21% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 15.17%

How you voted: Napoli vs Udinese

Napoli
83.3%
Draw
13.6%
Udinese
3.0%
66
Head to Head
May 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Udinese
1-1
Napoli
Lovric (13')
Osimhen (52')
> Preview
Nov 12, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 15
Napoli
3-2
Udinese
Osimhen (15'), Zielinski (31'), Elmas (58')
Nestorovski (79'), Samardzic (82')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 30
Napoli
2-1
Udinese
Osimhen (52', 63')
Rrahmani (65'), Osimhen (90+2')
Deulofeu (22')
Zeegelaar (45+2'), Udogie (50')
Mari (82')
> Preview
Sep 20, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Udinese
0-4
Napoli

Samir (56'), Molina (66')
Osimhen (24'), Rrahmani (35'), Koulibaly (52'), Lozano (84')
Rui (82')
> Preview
May 11, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Napoli
5-1
Udinese
Zielinski (28'), Fabian (31'), Lozano (56'), Di Lorenzo (66'), Insigne (90+1')
Okaka (41')
Bonifazi (54')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410
> Serie A Full Table


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