Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 42%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Udinese | Draw | Juventus |
32.1% ( -0.23) | 25.9% ( 0.14) | 42% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 53.7% ( -0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.53% ( -0.68) | 50.47% ( 0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.6% ( -0.6) | 72.39% ( 0.61) |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.5% ( -0.49) | 29.5% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.48% ( -0.6) | 65.51% ( 0.6) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.17% ( -0.25) | 23.82% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42% ( -0.37) | 58% ( 0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Udinese | Draw | Juventus |
1-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.24% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.1% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.93% Total : 42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 40 |
2 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
3 | Inter Milan | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 37 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 17 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 31 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 17 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |