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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Milan logo

Juventus
0 - 1
AC Milan


Cuadrado (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Giroud (40')
Messias (34'), Krunic (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Juventus and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Juventus 1-0 AC Milan

Juventus can keep the top-four race interesting until Serie A's final day, as they may be flaky on the road but are an entirely different proposition on Turin turf. Neither side are at the peak of their powers, so a classic is not on the cards - and Milan may be sent home pointless following a close-fought contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 44.29%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for an AC Milan win it was 0-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
JuventusDrawAC Milan
44.29% (0.83 0.83) 28.16% (0.154 0.15) 27.54% (-0.988 -0.99)
Both teams to score 44.82% (-0.97499999999999 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.23% (-0.951 -0.95)60.76% (0.948 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.18% (-0.723 -0.72)80.82% (0.718 0.72)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67% (-0.012 -0.01)27.33% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)62.78% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.67% (-1.334 -1.33)38.32% (1.33 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.92% (-1.304 -1.3)75.08% (1.299 1.3)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 44.29%
    AC Milan 27.54%
    Draw 28.16%
JuventusDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 13.58% (0.47 0.47)
2-0 @ 8.81% (0.305 0.31)
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.81% (0.131 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 44.29%
1-1 @ 13.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.47% (0.37 0.37)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.16%
0-1 @ 10.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.235 -0.24)
0-2 @ 4.82% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 27.54%

How you voted: Juventus vs AC Milan

Juventus
Draw
AC Milan
Juventus
59.8%
Draw
19.5%
AC Milan
20.7%
87
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 5pm
gameweek 9
AC Milan
2-0
Juventus
Tomori (45+1'), Diaz (54')

Cuadrado (26')
Jan 23, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 23
AC Milan
0-0
Juventus

Leao (12'), Messias (42')

Locatelli (9'), Kean (89')
Sep 19, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 4
Juventus
1-1
AC Milan
Morata (4')
Dybala (65')
Rebic (76')
Tonali (65')
May 9, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 35
Juventus
0-3
AC Milan

Chiesa (53'), Chiellini (57')
Diaz (45+1'), Rebic (78'), Tomori (82')
Diaz (59'), Saelemaekers (76')
Jan 6, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 16
AC Milan
1-3
Juventus
Calabria (41')
Romagnoli (90')
Chiesa (18', 62'), McKennie (76')
Bentancur (60'), Danilo (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan29197365273864
2Napoli29187445232261
3Atalanta BCAtalanta29177563283558
4Bologna291411449341553
5Juventus291313345281752
6Lazio2915685041951
7Roma29147844301449
8Fiorentina29146946301648
9AC Milan29138844331147
10Udinese29117113539-440
11Torino2991193434038
12Genoa29811102837-935
13Como2978143546-1129
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2992182958-2929
15CagliariCagliari2968152844-1626
16Parma29510143549-1425
17Lecce2967162148-2725
18Empoli29410152346-2322
19VeneziaVenezia29311152342-1920
20Monza2929182449-2515


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