Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 31

Apr 23, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
2 - 0
Lecce

Leao (40', 74')
Thiaw (27'), Pioli (28')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 1-1 AC Milan
Tuesday, April 18 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Sampdoria
Sunday, April 16 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

With four league games to play before tackling Inter in the first leg of their Champions League semi, Milan must focus on salvaging a top-four finish amid stiff competition. Goals have not always flowed freely in recent weeks, but the Rossoneri should have enough left in the tank to see off an ailing Lecce side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 61.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 15.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.89%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Lecce
61.66% ( -0.06)	23.17% ( 0.03)	15.17% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 42.38% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.54% (

-0.05)

55.46% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.35% (

-0.04)

76.65% (

0.04)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.37% (

-0.04)

17.63% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.77% (

-0.07)

48.23% (

0.07)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.45% (

0.02)

48.55% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.37% (

0.02)

83.63% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 61.66%

Lecce 15.17%

Draw 23.16%

AC Milan	Draw	Lecce
1-0 @ 14.85% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 12.89% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 61.66%	1-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.37% ( 0) Other @ 0.51% Total : 23.16%	0-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 15.17%