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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Apr 16, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Sampdoria logo

Lecce
1 - 1
Sampdoria

Ceesay (31')
Di Francesco (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rodriguez (75')
Leris (52'), Sabiri (67'), Rincon (83'), Augello (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 1-2 Napoli
Friday, April 7 at 6pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 2-3 Cremonese
Saturday, April 8 at 3.30pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 0-1 Sampdoria

Lecce and Sampdoria have had fewer shots than any other Serie A sides this season, but at least Samp have started to find the net regularly in recent weeks. They can therefore edge a high-stakes encounter; consigning their hosts to a seventh straight defeat and keeping their own paper-thin survival dreams alive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 50.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 23.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawSampdoria
50.97% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 25.84% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 23.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.52% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.56% (0.036000000000001 0.04)55.44% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.37% (0.030000000000001 0.03)76.63% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.2% (0.022999999999996 0.02)21.8% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.99% (0.036000000000001 0.04)55.01% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.77% (0.014000000000003 0.01)39.23% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.06% (0.013999999999999 0.01)75.94% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 50.96%
    Sampdoria 23.19%
    Draw 25.84%
LecceDrawSampdoria
1-0 @ 13.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.92%
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.71% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 50.96%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 8.55% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 8% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.7%
0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 23.19%

How you voted: Lecce vs Sampdoria

Lecce
44.4%
Draw
25.0%
Sampdoria
30.6%
36
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 5pm
Jul 1, 2020 8.45pm
Oct 30, 2019 8pm
Sampdoria
1-1
Lecce
Ramirez (92')
Ekdal (28'), Ferrari (56'), Vieira (75'), Depaoli (76')
Lapadula (8')
Petriccione (43'), Tachtsidis (45'), Meccariello (54')
Tachtsidis (72')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Switzerland Switzerland00000
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

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1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

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1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

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1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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