Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 30

Apr 16, 2023 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
1 - 1
Sampdoria

Ceesay (31')
Di Francesco (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rodriguez (75')
Leris (52'), Sabiri (67'), Rincon (83'), Augello (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 1-2 Napoli
Friday, April 7 at 6pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sampdoria

All competitions

Last Game: Sampdoria 2-3 Cremonese
Saturday, April 8 at 3.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lecce and Sampdoria have had fewer shots than any other Serie A sides this season, but at least Samp have started to find the net regularly in recent weeks. They can therefore edge a high-stakes encounter; consigning their hosts to a seventh straight defeat and keeping their own paper-thin survival dreams alive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 50.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 23.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Sampdoria
50.97% ( 0.02)	25.84% ( -0.01)	23.19% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 47.52% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.56% (

0.04)

55.44% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.37% (

0.03)

76.63% (

-0.03)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.2% (

0.02)

21.8% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.99% (

0.04)

55.01% (

-0.03)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.77% (

0.01)

39.23% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.06% (

0.01)

75.94% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Lecce 50.96%

Sampdoria 23.19%

Draw 25.84%

Lecce	Draw	Sampdoria
1-0 @ 13.02% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.92% 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.04% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 50.96%	1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.84%	0-1 @ 8% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.7% 0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.44% Total : 23.19%