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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Mar 12, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Torino logo

Lecce
0 - 2
Torino


Gonzalez (28'), Espeto (32'), Hjulmand (44')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Singo (20'), Sanabria (23')
Buongiorno (29'), Ilic (32'), Milinkovic-Savic (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Lecce
Sunday, March 5 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-0 Bologna
Monday, March 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-1 Torino

Torino have struggled to put a good run of results together all season and have frequently dropped points against sides near the bottom. For Lecce, any points will be vital now as they aim to ease themselves away from trouble to a mid-table finish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Torino had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawTorino
41.97% (-0.702 -0.7) 26.67% (-0.25 -0.25) 31.36% (0.957 0.96)
Both teams to score 50.97% (1.158 1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.15% (1.299 1.3)53.85% (-1.295 -1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.69% (1.081 1.08)75.32% (-1.077 -1.08)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.65% (0.22800000000001 0.23)25.36% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.86% (0.31 0.31)60.15% (-0.305 -0.31)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.29% (1.351 1.35)31.72% (-1.346 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.87% (1.524 1.52)68.14% (-1.52 -1.52)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 41.97%
    Torino 31.36%
    Draw 26.67%
LecceDrawTorino
1-0 @ 11.03% (-0.5 -0.5)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.57% (-0.289 -0.29)
3-1 @ 3.98% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.46% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.095 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 41.97%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.04% (-0.416 -0.42)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.178 0.18)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 9.23% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.214 0.21)
0-2 @ 5.3% (0.123 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.18 0.18)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.119 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.135 0.14)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 31.36%

How you voted: Lecce vs Torino

Lecce
39.2%
Draw
32.4%
Torino
28.4%
74
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 2, 2020 5pm
Lecce
4-0
Torino
Deiola (11'), Barak (19'), Falco (64'), Lapadula (78' pen.)
Majer (33'), Deiola (43'), Lapadula (76')

N'Koulou (12'), Meite (18'), Aina (60')
Sep 16, 2019 7.45pm
Torino
1-2
Lecce
Belotti (58' pen.)
Berenguer (40')
Farias (35'), Mancosu (73')
Rossettini (15'), Lucioni (18'), Lapadula (50'), Tabanelli (56'), Rispoli (88')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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