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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Feb 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Torino logo

AC Milan
1 - 0
Torino

Giroud (62')
Kjaer (32')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gineitis (25'), Buongiorno (49'), Schuurs (68'), Radonjic (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Tottenham Hotspur's latest injury and suspension news ahead of the first leg of Tuesday's Champions League tie with AC Milan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 1-0 Udinese
Sunday, February 5 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-1 Torino

Having shown precious few signs of improvement in the derby, Milan are in damage-limitation mode and would probably take a point if offered before kickoff. They may manage to hold out for a draw, as Torino often lack a cutting edge to match some encouraging approach play. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 58.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Torino had a probability of 18.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawTorino
58.34% (0.083000000000006 0.08) 23.1% (-0.038 -0.04) 18.56% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 49.02% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.9% (0.085999999999999 0.09)50.1% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.93% (0.076000000000001 0.08)72.07% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.12% (0.063000000000002 0.06)16.88% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.08% (0.105 0.11)46.92% (-0.104 -0.1)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.98% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)41.02% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.43% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)77.57% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 58.32%
    Torino 18.56%
    Draw 23.09%
AC MilanDrawTorino
1-0 @ 12.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.95%
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 6.5% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.79% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.89% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.03% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 58.32%
1-1 @ 10.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.93% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 23.09%
0-1 @ 6.17% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.89% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2%
Total : 18.56%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Torino

AC Milan
Draw
Torino
AC Milan
60.3%
Draw
21.7%
Torino
17.9%
184
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
AC Milan
0-1
Torino
Adopo (114')
Djidji (14'), Milinkovic-Savic (90+2'), Linetty (109')
Djidji (69')
Oct 30, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 10, 2022 7.45pm
Torino
0-0
AC Milan

Lukic (14'), Pobega (31'), Juric (61')

Tomori (18'), Kalulu (36'), Pioli (90+8')
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
1-0
Torino
Giroud (14')
Romagnoli (10'), Kalulu (34'), Bakayoko (90+3')

Buongiorno (5'), Singo (24'), Pobega (57')
May 12, 2021 7.45pm
Torino
0-7
AC Milan

Baselli (44'), Linetty (48')
Hernandez (19', 62'), Kessie (26' pen.), Diaz (50'), Rebic (67', 72', 79')
Bennacer (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan29197365273864
2Napoli29187445232261
3Atalanta BCAtalanta29177563283558
4Bologna291411449341553
5Juventus291313345281752
6Lazio2915685041951
7Roma29147844301449
8Fiorentina29146946301648
9AC Milan29138844331147
10Udinese29117113539-440
11Torino2991193434038
12Genoa29811102837-935
13Como2978143546-1129
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2992182958-2929
15CagliariCagliari2968152844-1626
16Parma29510143549-1425
17Lecce2967162148-2725
18Empoli29410152346-2322
19VeneziaVenezia29311152342-1920
20Monza2929182449-2515


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