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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Feb 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Torino logo

AC Milan
1 - 0
Torino

Giroud (62')
Kjaer (32')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gineitis (25'), Buongiorno (49'), Schuurs (68'), Radonjic (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Tottenham Hotspur's latest injury and suspension news ahead of the first leg of Tuesday's Champions League tie with AC Milan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 1-0 Udinese
Sunday, February 5 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-1 Torino

Having shown precious few signs of improvement in the derby, Milan are in damage-limitation mode and would probably take a point if offered before kickoff. They may manage to hold out for a draw, as Torino often lack a cutting edge to match some encouraging approach play. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 58.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Torino had a probability of 18.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawTorino
58.34% (0.083000000000006 0.08) 23.1% (-0.038 -0.04) 18.56% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 49.02% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.9% (0.085999999999999 0.09)50.1% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.93% (0.076000000000001 0.08)72.07% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.12% (0.063000000000002 0.06)16.88% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.08% (0.105 0.11)46.92% (-0.104 -0.1)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.98% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)41.02% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.43% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)77.57% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 58.32%
    Torino 18.56%
    Draw 23.09%
AC MilanDrawTorino
1-0 @ 12.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.95%
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 6.5% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.79% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.89% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.03% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 58.32%
1-1 @ 10.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.93% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 23.09%
0-1 @ 6.17% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.89% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2%
Total : 18.56%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Torino

AC Milan
60.3%
Draw
21.7%
Torino
17.9%
184
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
AC Milan
0-1
Torino
Adopo (114')
Djidji (14'), Milinkovic-Savic (90+2'), Linetty (109')
Djidji (69')
Oct 30, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 10, 2022 7.45pm
Torino
0-0
AC Milan

Lukic (14'), Pobega (31'), Juric (61')

Tomori (18'), Kalulu (36'), Pioli (90+8')
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
1-0
Torino
Giroud (14')
Romagnoli (10'), Kalulu (34'), Bakayoko (90+3')

Buongiorno (5'), Singo (24'), Pobega (57')
May 12, 2021 7.45pm
Torino
0-7
AC Milan

Baselli (44'), Linetty (48')
Hernandez (19', 62'), Kessie (26' pen.), Diaz (50'), Rebic (67', 72', 79')
Bennacer (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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