Serie A | Gameweek 22
Feb 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan1 - 0Torino
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Tottenham Hotspur's latest injury and suspension news ahead of the first leg of Tuesday's Champions League tie with AC Milan.
We said: AC Milan 1-1 Torino
Having shown precious few signs of improvement in the derby, Milan are in damage-limitation mode and would probably take a point if offered before kickoff. They may manage to hold out for a draw, as Torino often lack a cutting edge to match some encouraging approach play. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 58.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Torino had a probability of 18.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AC Milan in this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Torino |
58.34% ( 0.08) | 23.1% ( -0.04) | 18.56% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 49.02% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.9% ( 0.09) | 50.1% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.93% ( 0.08) | 72.07% ( -0.08) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.12% ( 0.06) | 16.88% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.08% ( 0.11) | 46.92% ( -0.1) |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.98% ( -0) | 41.02% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.43% ( -0) | 77.57% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
AC Milan 58.32%
Torino 18.56%
Draw 23.09%
| AC Milan | Draw | Torino |
| 1-0 @ 12.31% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.88% Total : 58.32% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0)Other @ 0.85% Total : 23.09% | 0-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 2% Total : 18.56% |
How you voted: AC Milan vs Torino
AC Milan
60.3%Draw
21.7%Torino
17.9%184
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
AC Milan
0-1
Torino
Oct 30, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
