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Serie A
Milan logo
Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 29, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Sassuolo logo

AC Milan
2 - 5
Sassuolo

Giroud (24'), Origi (81')
Tonali (37'), Rebic (45+4'), Calabria (46'), Krunic (61'), Giroud (90+1'), Gabbia (87'), Pobega (90+5'), Pobega (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Defrel (19'), Frattesi (21'), Berardi (30'), Lauriente (47' pen.), Henrique (79')
Obiang (53'), Kiriakopoulos (61'), Frattesi (73'), Ruan (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 4-0 AC Milan
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Sassuolo

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-1 Sassuolo
Sunday, January 22 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 2-1 Sassuolo

 Sassuolo's arrival at San Siro could be timely for Milan, as the Neroverdi are one of few sides in even worse form at the start of 2023. While still short of confidence at the back, the Rossoneri's attacking weapons outweigh that of their visitors, and that could decide the outcome of a close-fought encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 63.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 15.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawSassuolo
63.97% (-0.77099999999999 -0.77) 20.19% (0.24 0.24) 15.84% (0.526 0.53)
Both teams to score 52.85% (0.431 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.81% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)42.19% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.4% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)64.59% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.49% (-0.236 -0.24)12.5% (0.233 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.5% (-0.49 -0.49)38.5% (0.486 0.49)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.4% (0.65000000000001 0.65)39.6% (-0.654 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.71% (0.597 0.6)76.28% (-0.601 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 63.97%
    Sassuolo 15.84%
    Draw 20.19%
AC MilanDrawSassuolo
2-0 @ 10.7% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-0 @ 10.29% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.42% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-1 @ 6.87% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.86% (-0.132 -0.13)
4-1 @ 3.57% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.035 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.66% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.6% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.49% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 63.97%
1-1 @ 9.54% (0.106 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.95% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.19%
0-1 @ 4.59% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
1-2 @ 4.42% (0.127 0.13)
0-2 @ 2.12% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.36% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 15.84%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Sassuolo

AC Milan
85.2%
Draw
9.3%
Sassuolo
5.6%
108
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 5.30pm
Sassuolo
0-0
AC Milan

Hernandez (27')
May 22, 2022 5pm
Sassuolo
0-3
AC Milan

Lopez (37'), Kiriakopoulos (53')
Giroud (17', 32'), Kessie (36')
Tonali (34')
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
AC Milan
1-3
Sassuolo
Romagnoli (21')
Bennacer (53'), Hernandez (54'), Tonali (71'), Kjaer (73')
Romagnoli (77')
Scamacca (24'), Kjaer (33' og.), Berardi (66')
Lopez (27'), Raspadori (38')
Apr 21, 2021 5.30pm
AC Milan
1-2
Sassuolo
Calhanoglu (30')
Raspadori (76', 83')
Duricic (60')
Dec 20, 2020 2pm
Sassuolo
1-2
AC Milan
Berardi (89')
Berardi (65')
Leao (1'), Saelemaekers (26')
Kessie (61'), Calabria (71'), Romagnoli (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410
> Serie A Full Table


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