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Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 29, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Sassuolo logo

AC Milan
2 - 5
Sassuolo

Giroud (24'), Origi (81')
Tonali (37'), Rebic (45+4'), Calabria (46'), Krunic (61'), Giroud (90+1'), Gabbia (87'), Pobega (90+5'), Pobega (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Defrel (19'), Frattesi (21'), Berardi (30'), Lauriente (47' pen.), Henrique (79')
Obiang (53'), Kiriakopoulos (61'), Frattesi (73'), Ruan (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 4-0 AC Milan
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-1 Sassuolo
Sunday, January 22 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 2-1 Sassuolo

Sassuolo's arrival at San Siro could be timely for Milan, as the Neroverdi are one of few sides in even worse form at the start of 2023. While still short of confidence at the back, the Rossoneri's attacking weapons outweigh that of their visitors, and that could decide the outcome of a close-fought encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 63.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 15.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawSassuolo
63.97% (-0.77099999999999 -0.77) 20.19% (0.24 0.24) 15.84% (0.526 0.53)
Both teams to score 52.85% (0.431 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.81% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)42.19% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.4% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)64.59% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.49% (-0.236 -0.24)12.5% (0.233 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.5% (-0.49 -0.49)38.5% (0.486 0.49)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.4% (0.65000000000001 0.65)39.6% (-0.654 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.71% (0.597 0.6)76.28% (-0.601 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 63.97%
    Sassuolo 15.84%
    Draw 20.19%
AC MilanDrawSassuolo
2-0 @ 10.7% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-0 @ 10.29% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.42% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-1 @ 6.87% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.86% (-0.132 -0.13)
4-1 @ 3.57% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.035 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.66% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.6% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.49% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 63.97%
1-1 @ 9.54% (0.106 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.95% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.19%
0-1 @ 4.59% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
1-2 @ 4.42% (0.127 0.13)
0-2 @ 2.12% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.36% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 15.84%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Sassuolo

AC Milan
85.2%
Draw
9.3%
Sassuolo
5.6%
108
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 5.30pm
May 22, 2022 5pm
Sassuolo
0-3
AC Milan

Lopez (37'), Kiriakopoulos (53')
Giroud (17', 32'), Kessie (36')
Tonali (34')
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
AC Milan
1-3
Sassuolo
Romagnoli (21')
Bennacer (53'), Hernandez (54'), Tonali (71'), Kjaer (73')
Romagnoli (77')
Scamacca (24'), Kjaer (33' og.), Berardi (66')
Lopez (27'), Raspadori (38')
Apr 21, 2021 5.30pm
Dec 20, 2020 2pm
Sassuolo
1-2
AC Milan
Berardi (89')
Berardi (65')
Leao (1'), Saelemaekers (26')
Kessie (61'), Calabria (71'), Romagnoli (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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