Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 20

Jan 29, 2023 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
2 - 5
Sassuolo

Giroud (24'), Origi (81')
Tonali (37'), Rebic (45+4'), Calabria (46'), Krunic (61'), Giroud (90+1'), Gabbia (87'), Pobega (90+5'), Pobega (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Defrel (19'), Frattesi (21'), Berardi (30'), Lauriente (47' pen.), Henrique (79')
Obiang (53'), Kiriakopoulos (61'), Frattesi (73'), Ruan (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 4-0 AC Milan
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sassuolo

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Monza 1-1 Sassuolo
Sunday, January 22 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: AC Milan 2-1 Sassuolo

Sassuolo's arrival at San Siro could be timely for Milan, as the Neroverdi are one of few sides in even worse form at the start of 2023. While still short of confidence at the back, the Rossoneri's attacking weapons outweigh that of their visitors, and that could decide the outcome of a close-fought encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 63.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 15.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Sassuolo
63.97% ( -0.77)	20.19% ( 0.24)	15.84% ( 0.53)

Both teams to score 52.85% (

0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.81% (

-0.06)

42.19% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.4% (

-0.06)

64.59% (

0.05)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.49% (

-0.24)

12.5% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.5% (

-0.49)

38.5% (

0.49)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.4% (

0.65)

39.6% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.71% (

0.6)

76.28% (

-0.6)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 63.97%

Sassuolo 15.84%

Draw 20.19%

AC Milan	Draw	Sassuolo
2-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.42% Total : 63.97%	1-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.19%	0-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.93% Total : 15.84%