Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Sassuolo |
49.58% ( -0.58) | 23.36% ( 0.23) | 27.05% ( 0.35) |
Both teams to score 59.11% ( -0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.01% ( -0.78) | 41.98% ( 0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.61% ( -0.79) | 64.39% ( 0.79) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.91% ( -0.5) | 17.09% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.72% ( -0.9) | 47.27% ( 0.9) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.29% ( -0.15) | 28.71% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.46% ( -0.19) | 64.53% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Sassuolo |
2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.06) Other @ 4.03% Total : 49.58% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.36% | 1-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.48% Total : 27.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Lazio | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
6 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Empoli | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
14 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
15 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
18 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
20 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |