Serie A | Gameweek 18
Jan 14, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Giovanni Zini
Cremonese2 - 3Monza
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ciurria (8'), Caprari (19' pen., 55')
Birindelli (16'), Caprari (22'), Augusto (70'), D'Alessandro (79')
Birindelli (16'), Caprari (22'), Augusto (70'), D'Alessandro (79')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-0 Cremonese
Monday, January 9 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Monday, January 9 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 2-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, January 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Saturday, January 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: Cremonese 1-2 Monza
No side has conceded more set-piece goals than Cremonese in Serie A this season (10). On the other hand, Monza have let in the joint-fewest (two), and such details are why the latter have adapted much better to the top flight. Even if the hosts can keep things tight heading into the closing stages, a defensive lapse or two could prove costly; allowing their visitors to escape with three precious points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Monza had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cremonese | Draw | Monza |
40.77% ( -0.98) | 25.4% ( -0.02) | 33.82% ( 1) |
| Both teams to score 55.9% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.13% ( 0.35) | 47.86% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.95% ( 0.32) | 70.04% ( -0.32) |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.71% ( -0.33) | 23.29% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.77% ( -0.48) | 57.23% ( 0.48) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.87% ( 0.79) | 27.13% ( -0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.48% ( 1.02) | 62.52% ( -1.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Cremonese 40.77%
Monza 33.82%
Draw 25.4%
| Cremonese | Draw | Monza |
| 1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 40.77% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.03% Total : 33.82% |
How you voted: Cremonese vs Monza
Cremonese
46.9%Draw
15.6%Monza
37.5%32
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2022 3.15pm
Aug 29, 2021 7.30pm
Monza
1-0
Cremonese
Castagnetti (48'), Valzania (59')
Apr 17, 2021 1pm
Dec 27, 2020 8pm
Form Guide
