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Cremonese
Serie A | Gameweek 18
Jan 14, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Giovanni Zini
Monza

Cremonese
2 - 3
Monza

Ciofani (67'), Dessers (83')
Okereke (14'), Pickel (70')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ciurria (8'), Caprari (19' pen., 55')
Birindelli (16'), Caprari (22'), Augusto (70'), D'Alessandro (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Cremonese and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-0 Cremonese
Monday, January 9 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 2-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, January 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Cremonese 1-2 Monza

No side has conceded more set-piece goals than Cremonese in Serie A this season (10). On the other hand, Monza have let in the joint-fewest (two), and such details are why the latter have adapted much better to the top flight. Even if the hosts can keep things tight heading into the closing stages, a defensive lapse or two could prove costly; allowing their visitors to escape with three precious points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Monza had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result
CremoneseDrawMonza
40.77% (-0.98 -0.98) 25.4% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 33.82% (1 1)
Both teams to score 55.9% (0.369 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.13% (0.349 0.35)47.86% (-0.349 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.95% (0.321 0.32)70.04% (-0.322 -0.32)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.71% (-0.331 -0.33)23.29% (0.33 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.77% (-0.484 -0.48)57.23% (0.482 0.48)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.87% (0.791 0.79)27.13% (-0.792 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.48% (1.02 1.02)62.52% (-1.02 -1.02)
Score Analysis
    Cremonese 40.77%
    Monza 33.82%
    Draw 25.4%
CremoneseDrawMonza
1-0 @ 9.21% (-0.226 -0.23)
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-0 @ 6.71% (-0.232 -0.23)
3-1 @ 4.25% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.26% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 40.77%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.06 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 8.24% (0.064 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.84% (0.158 0.16)
0-2 @ 5.38% (0.16 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.41% (0.142 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.08 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.34% (0.12 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 33.82%

How you voted: Cremonese vs Monza

Cremonese
46.9%
Draw
15.6%
Monza
37.5%
32
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2022 3.15pm
Cremonese
3-2
Monza
Gaetano (33'), Ciofani (46', 64')
Bianchetti (16'), Sernicola (30'), Casasola (44'), Okoli (76')
D'Alessandro (54'), Ciurria (84')
Bettella (22'), Augusto (59'), Marrone (90+1')
Aug 29, 2021 7.30pm
Monza
1-0
Cremonese
Gytkjaer (65')
Colpani (45+2'), Mota (60'), Caldirola (70')

Castagnetti (48'), Valzania (59')
Apr 17, 2021 1pm
Monza
2-1
Cremonese
Frattesi (34'), Mota (38')
Colpani (87')
Sampirisi (59' og.)
Buonaiuto (42'), Bianchetti (67'), Strizzolo (83')
Dec 27, 2020 8pm
Cremonese
0-2
Monza
Barilla (14'), Frattesi (76')
D'Errico (33'), Fossati (44'), Armellino (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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