Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Monza had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
Result | ||
Cremonese | Draw | Monza |
40.77% ( -0.98) | 25.4% ( -0.02) | 33.82% ( 1) |
Both teams to score 55.9% ( 0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.13% ( 0.35) | 47.86% ( -0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.95% ( 0.32) | 70.04% ( -0.32) |
Cremonese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.71% ( -0.33) | 23.29% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.77% ( -0.48) | 57.23% ( 0.48) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.87% ( 0.79) | 27.13% ( -0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.48% ( 1.02) | 62.52% ( -1.02) |
Score Analysis |
Cremonese | Draw | Monza |
1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 40.77% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.03% Total : 33.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Torino | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
2 | Udinese | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
3 | Napoli | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
4 | Empoli | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 9 |
5 | Inter Milan | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 8 |
6 | Juventus | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 8 |
7 | Lazio | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
8 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
9 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
10 | AC Milan | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 5 |
11 | Genoa | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
12 | Parma | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 4 |
13 | Lecce | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 4 |
14 | Fiorentina | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 |
15 | Monza | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
16 | Roma | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
17 | Bologna | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
18 | Como | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2 |
19 | CagliariCagliari | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 2 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 1 |
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