Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 23

Feb 19, 2023 at 11.30am UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
1 - 2
Lecce

Hojlund (87')
Demiral (4'), Zappacosta (12'), Maehle (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ceesay (4'), Blin (74')
Di Francesco (55'), Gallo (64'), Blin (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 0-2 Atalanta
Saturday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Roma
Saturday, February 11 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Lecce

While Lecce have found a way to pick up points on the road, and are a well-organised and settled side, Atalanta's recent prowess in the final third means that - even accounting for absences - they are the likeliest winners on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 63.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 15.88%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Lecce
63.43% ( -0.01)	20.68% ( 0)	15.88% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.27% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.67% (

-0.01)

44.32% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.3% (

-0.01)

66.7% (

0.01)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.68% (

-0)

13.31% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.84% (

-0.01)

40.16% (

0.01)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.15%

40.85% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.58% (

-0)

77.42% (

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 63.42%

Lecce 15.88%

Draw 20.68%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Lecce
2-0 @ 11.05% 1-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 7.43% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.75% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.35% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.51% 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 63.42%	1-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 1% Total : 20.68%	0-1 @ 4.87% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.18% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.32% 1-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 15.88%