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Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 19, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Gewiss Stadium
Lecce logo

Atalanta
1 - 2
Lecce

Hojlund (87')
Demiral (4'), Zappacosta (12'), Maehle (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ceesay (4'), Blin (74')
Di Francesco (55'), Gallo (64'), Blin (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 0-2 Atalanta
Saturday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Roma
Saturday, February 11 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Lecce

While Lecce have found a way to pick up points on the road, and are a well-organised and settled side, Atalanta's recent prowess in the final third means that - even accounting for absences - they are the likeliest winners on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 63.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 15.88%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawLecce
63.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 20.68% (0.0040000000000013 0) 15.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.27% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.67% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)44.32% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.3% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)66.7% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)13.31% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.84% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)40.16% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.15%40.85% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.58% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)77.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 63.42%
    Lecce 15.88%
    Draw 20.68%
Atalanta BCDrawLecce
2-0 @ 11.05%
1-0 @ 10.96%
2-1 @ 9.9%
3-0 @ 7.43% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 6.65% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 3.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.51%
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 63.42%
1-1 @ 9.82% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 1%
Total : 20.68%
0-1 @ 4.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 4.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.32%
1-3 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 15.88%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Lecce

Atalanta BC
89.2%
Draw
4.8%
Lecce
6.0%
83
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 5.30pm
Mar 1, 2020 2pm
Lecce
2-7
Atalanta
Saponara (29'), Donati (40')
Lucioni (66'), Saponara (70')
Donati (17' og.), Zapata (22', 54', 62'), Ilicic (47'), Muriel (87'), Malinovskiy (90')
Hateboer (45'), Luis Palomino (57')
Oct 6, 2019 2pm
Atalanta
3-1
Lecce
Zapata (35'), Papu (40'), Gosens (56')
Kjaer (63'), de Roon (73')
Lucioni (86')
Lucioni (62'), Majer (84'), Rispoli (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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