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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Jan 15, 2023 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Salernitana

Atalanta
8 - 2
Salernitana

Boga (5'), Lookman (20' pen., 54'), Scalvini (23'), Koopmeiners (38'), Hojlund (41'), Ederson (61'), Zortea (85')
Koopmeiners (30')
FT(HT: 5-1)
Dia (10'), Nicolussi (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last Game: Bologna 1-2 Atalanta
Monday, January 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Salernitana

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 1-1 Torino
Sunday, January 8 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Salernitana

 During the opening 15 minutes of play in Serie A this season, Salernitana have shipped the joint-most goals (six), but they cannot afford a slow start on Sunday. There are some signs Atalanta may be clicking back into gear following the winter break, and the hosts can punish any slip-ups from a vulnerable away side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 66.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 13.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 8-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawSalernitana
66.7% (-0.63200000000001 -0.63) 19.86% (0.278 0.28) 13.43% (0.35 0.35)
Both teams to score 47.79% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.22% (-0.421 -0.42)45.77% (0.416 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.91% (-0.398 -0.4)68.08% (0.39500000000001 0.4)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.19% (-0.307 -0.31)12.8% (0.304 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.87% (-0.631 -0.63)39.12% (0.628 0.63)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.81% (0.283 0.28)45.19% (-0.286 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.91% (0.224 0.22)81.08% (-0.227 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 66.69%
    Salernitana 13.43%
    Draw 19.86%
Atalanta BCDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 12.22% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
1-0 @ 11.89% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.37% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-1 @ 6.65% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 4.3% (-0.126 -0.13)
4-1 @ 3.42% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.77% (-0.073 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.41% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 66.69%
1-1 @ 9.45% (0.133 0.13)
0-0 @ 5.79% (0.102 0.1)
2-2 @ 3.86% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 19.86%
0-1 @ 4.6% (0.117 0.12)
1-2 @ 3.75% (0.082 0.08)
0-2 @ 1.83% (0.06 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.02% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 0.99% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 13.43%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Salernitana

Atalanta BC
86.0%
Draw
6.0%
Salernitana
8.0%
50
Head to Head
May 2, 2022 7.45pm
Atalanta
1-1
Salernitana
Pasalic (88')
Demiral (37'), Luis Palomino (38'), Freuler (90')
Ederson (27')
Djuric (38'), Verdi (58')
Sep 18, 2021 7.45pm
Salernitana
0-1
Atalanta

Djuric (45'), Ranieri (60'), Obi (73'), Jaroszynski (86')
Zapata (75')
Maehle (16'), Toloi (38'), Demiral (45'), Malinovskyi (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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