We said: Lecce 1-1 Salernitana
Putting aside their current woes, Salernitana have proven they can cause teams trouble away from home - three wins and as many draws in 10 road trips attest to that. While Lecce's recent form is far better, they are not the most prolific side and may have to settle for a single point.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 53.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 22.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.